Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42211540›Full record

ArticleNature cities2025

Individual and city-level variations in heat-related road traffic deaths in Latin America.

Cheng-Kai Hsu, D Alex Quistberg, Brisa N Sánchez, Josiah L Kephart, Usama Bilal, Nelson Gouveia, Carolina Perez Ferrer, Waleska T Caiaffa, Amélia Augusta de Lima Friche, Ignacio Yannone and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature cities, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Cheng-Kai HsuDepartment of City and Regional Planning and Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA.
D Alex QuistbergDornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Brisa N SánchezDornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Josiah L KephartDornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Usama BilalDornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Nelson GouveiaDepartment of Preventive Medicine, University of Sao Paulo Medical School, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Carolina Perez FerrerCenter for Research in Population Health, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico.
Waleska T CaiaffaObservatory for Urban Health in Belo Horizonte, School of Medicine, Federal University of Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil.
Amélia Augusta de Lima FricheObservatory for Urban Health in Belo Horizonte, School of Medicine, Federal University of Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil.
Ignacio YannoneInstitute of Collective Health, National University of Lanús (ISCo-UNLa), Argentina.
Daniel A RodríguezDepartment of City and Regional Planning and Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA.

Funding

Research Project CoreP20MD019221 · NIMHD · DREXEL UNIVERSITY · PI LAZO ELIZONDO, MARIANA · 2023 to 2025
$3.2M
NIMHD NIH HHS P20 MD019221Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Latin America experiences both high road traffic mortality and extreme heat, which have been shown elsewhere to be interrelated. However, few studies have examined this association in Latin America-one of the world's most urbanized, fastest-motorizing region, with a high share of vulnerable road users-and even fewer have analyzed multiple cities across diverse climates and urban settings. Leveraging ambient temperature and road traffic mortality data (2000-2019) from 272 cities in six Latin American countries, we conducted a time-stratified case-crossover study. Based on over 1.9 million city-days of data, we found that road traffic mortality risk generally increased with temperature in a monotonic pattern, with significantly elevated risks on extremely hot days, defined at the 95th and 99th temperature percentiles. Risks were particularly high among younger individuals (≤19 years), males, motorcyclists, bicyclists, and in cities with hotter climates, longer commutes, and more extended street segments. Cities in the tropical Global South should prioritize protecting vulnerable road users, particularly those in peripheral areas, where many endure long, heat-exposed commutes in informal, non-climate-controlled transport.

Identifiers

PMID42211540
PMCPMC13215684

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.