Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42209539›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

North Atlantic influence reconciling model-observation discrepancy in the tropical Pacific warming pattern.

Yueh-Chi Lin, Masahiro Watanabe

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Yueh-Chi LinAtmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan. yueh-chi@aori.u-tokyo.ac.jp.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-5974-0051
Masahiro WatanabeAtmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Kashiwa, Japan. hiro@aori.u-tokyo.ac.jp.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6500-2101

Funding

MEXT | Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) 24H00261Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT) JPMXD0722680395
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Over the past four decades, zonal contrast in the tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) has strengthened in observations but weakened in majority of climate model simulations. This model-observation discrepancy cannot be explained by internal mode of interdecadal climate variability in the Pacific alone, and the source of possible model errors remains unclear. Here, using observations and a large ensemble of historical simulations by a climate model, we identified that the simulated SST pattern associated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) is biased in the tropical Pacific despite the time evolution of the AMV being reproduced well. Observations suggest that the positive AMV acts to increase the Pacific zonal SST contrast whereas this teleconnection process falsely weakens it in the model, which is a common feature in other climate models, and correcting the AMV-related SST pattern, which is likely an externally forced response, partly reconciles the model-observation discrepancy.

Identifiers

PMID42209539
PMCPMC13389187

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.