Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42209328›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Digital health2026

Critical appraisal of fairness metrics for artificial intelligence-based clinical prediction models: a scoping review.

João Matos, Ben Van Calster, Leo Anthony Celi, Paula Dhiman, Judy Wawira Gichoya, Richard D Riley, Chris Russell, Sara Khalid, Gary S Collins

Abstract readScoping Review
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Digital health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

João MatosCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. Electronic address: joao.matos@ndorms.ox.ac.uk.
Ben Van CalsterDepartment of Development and Regeneration, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium; Leuven Unit for Health Technology Assessment Research (LUHTAR), Leuven, Belgium.
Leo Anthony CeliBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA; Laboratory for Computational Physiology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA; Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
Paula DhimanCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Judy Wawira GichoyaDepartment of Radiology and Imaging Sciences, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Richard D RileyDepartment of Applied Health Sciences, School of Health Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK; National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR), Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, Birmingham, UK.
Chris RussellOxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Sara KhalidCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Gary S CollinsDepartment of Applied Health Sciences, School of Health Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK; National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR), Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, Birmingham, UK.

Funding

Bridge2AI: Patient-Focused Collaborative Hospital Repository Uniting Standards (CHoRUS) for Equitable AIOT2OD032701 · OD · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI BIHORAC, AZRA, CLERMONT, GILLES · 2022 to 2025
$24.6M
MUST Data Science Research Hub (MUDSReH) - Democratized Trusted Research Environment (dTRE)U54TW012043 · FIC · MBARARA UNIVERSITY/SCIENCE/ TECHNOLOGY · PI Leo Anthony G Celi, Jessica Elizabeth Haberer · 2021 to 2026
$6.9M
Critical Care Informatics: Ethical considerations around the use and sharing of health-related dataR01EB017205 · NIBIB · MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY · PI CELI, LEO ANTHONY G, MARK, ROGER GREENWOOD · 2014 to 2021
$3.8M
Multimodal, Multi-scale Framework for Ethical AI Model DevelopmentOT2OD038065 · OD · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI Judy Gichoya · 2025 to 2026
$2.9M
Opportunistic Screening for ASCVD using a Multimodal Deep Learning Risk Prediction ModelR01HL167811 · NHLBI · MAYO CLINIC ARIZONA · PI Imon Banerjee, Judy Gichoya · 2024 to 2026
$2.1M
Developing a Hive Learning and Datathon Supported Course on Imaging and Multimodal Data for Resource-Limited Institutions (CIMDAR-HIVE)R25OD039834 · OD · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI Judy Gichoya, Saptarshi Purkayastha · 2025 to 2026
$1.1M
FIC NIH HHS U54 TW012043NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL167811NIBIB NIH HHS R01 EB017205NIH HHS OT2 OD032701NIH HHS OT2 OD038065NIH HHS R25 OD039834Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Predictive artificial intelligence (AI) offers an opportunity to improve clinical practice and patient outcomes but risks perpetuating biases if fairness is inadequately addressed. However, the definition of fairness remains unclear. We conducted a scoping review to identify and critically appraise fairness metrics in clinical predictive AI models. We defined a fairness metric as a metric quantifying whether a model discriminates (societally) against individuals or groups defined by sensitive attributes. We searched five databases for literature published during 2014-24, screened 820 records, included 42 studies, and extracted 63 fairness metrics. The search was limited to studies published in English. These metrics, which were classified by performance dependency, model output level, and base performance metric, revealed a fragmented landscape in the field of clinical predictive AI, with inadequate clinical validation and over-reliance on threshold-dependent metrics. 19 metrics, including only one metric for clinical use, were explicitly developed for health care. Our findings highlight conceptual challenges in defining and quantifying fairness and identify gaps in uncertainty quantification, intersectionality, and real-world applicability. Therefore, future works on clinical predictive AI models should prioritise clinically meaningful metrics.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceHumansPrediction AlgorithmsPredictive Learning Models

Identifiers

PMID42209328
PMCPMC13479377

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.