Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42203778›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Ice-sheet hydro-fracture not advanced inland by lower-elevation lake drainages in Kalaallit Nunaat.

Laura A Stevens, Meredith Nettles, Stacy Larochelle, Marianne Okal, Emily Falconer, Natalie Turner, Joshua Rines, Ching-Yao Lai, George Lu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Laura A StevensDepartment of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. laura.stevens@earth.ox.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0480-8018
Meredith NettlesLamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4613-4162
Stacy LarochelleLamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6161-5605
Marianne OkalEarthScope Consortium, Boulder, CO, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9344-6196
Emily FalconerDepartment of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Natalie TurnerDepartment of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Joshua RinesDepartment of Geophysics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3743-1096
Ching-Yao LaiDepartment of Geophysics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6552-7546
George LuLamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-8410

Funding

National Science Foundation (NSF) OPP-2003464National Science Foundation (NSF) OPP-2344690RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) NE/Y002369/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Drainage of supraglacial lakes via hydro-fracture is widely argued to be a mechanism for destabilization of grounded ice sheets under climate-warming scenarios because it may accelerate surface meltwater access to the ice-sheet bed. Progress in interrogating this hypothesis has been hindered by the lack of regional observations of hydro-fracture event occurrence, and the lack of observations of regional ice-sheet response to hydro-fracture events. Here, we remedy both deficiencies using a 22-station Global Navigation Satellite System array to discern inter-lake, hydro-fracture-event triggering potential between lakes spanning the mid-to-upper Greenland Ice Sheet ablation zone. In four separate instances, multiple lake hydro-fracture events occur close in time at similar elevations; meanwhile, strain rates across higher-elevation lake basins are unperturbed. Our findings support a simple model for the inland progression of surface-to-bed meltwater pathways beneath lakes: pathway initiation migrates alongside advancing surface melt, but is not accelerated by drainage activity at distant, lower-elevation lakes.

Identifiers

PMID42203778
PMCPMC13216594

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.