Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42201376›Full record

ArticleCancer causes & control : CCC2026

Temporal trends in the probability of melanoma diagnosis in four Nordic countries, 1973-1999.

Ornella Moro, Thomas R Schopf, Marit B Veierød, Giovanni Sebastiani

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Article in Cancer causes & control : CCC, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Ornella MoroIstituto per le Applicazioni del Calcolo "Mauro Picone", Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Rome, Italy. o.moro@iac.cnr.it.
Thomas R SchopfNorwegian Centre for E-Health Research, University Hospital of North-Norway, Tromsø, Norway.
Marit B VeierødOslo Centre for Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Department of Biostatistics, Institute of Basic Medical Sciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Giovanni SebastianiIstituto per le Applicazioni del Calcolo "Mauro Picone", Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Rome, Italy.

Funding

European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme 101017385
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the last decades, melanoma incidence has been rising in many countries, e.g., in Northern Europe, where rates are among the highest despite high latitudes. Using population incidence and demographic data from the NORDCAN database, we estimate the 5-year probability of melanoma diagnosis in 1973-1999. We consider individuals aged 30-54 years, grouped by calendar year and 5-year age group. We analyse temporal patterns to detect possible differences among countries and local deviations from the overall increasing trend in melanoma risk. Across nearly all age groups and Nordic countries, except Sweden, we observe localized peaks interrupting the monotonic increase pattern of risk over time. The locations of the peaks of different age groups are consistently associated with individuals born during or shortly after World War II. These findings suggest a possible long-term impact on melanoma risk from early-life body stressors, including dietary restrictions.

Indexed as

MelanomaSkin NeoplasmsAdultFemaleHumansIcelandIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedProbabilityRegistriesRisk FactorsScandinavian and Nordic CountriesCutaneous melanomaExposure effectsRisk probabilityWorld War II

Identifiers

PMID42201376

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.