Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42200135›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2026

Impact of China's national drug price negotiation on pharmaceutical firms' innovation activities.

Heng Xu, Jingyu Wang, Qian Zhou

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Heng XuSchool of International Pharmaceutical Business, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, China.
Jingyu WangSchool of International Pharmaceutical Business, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, China.
Qian ZhouSchool of International Pharmaceutical Business, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The National Drug Price Negotiation (NDPN) is a key policy in China for controlling healthcare costs and improving drug accessibility. However, its impact on pharmaceutical firms' innovation remains controversial, with limited empirical evidence on micro-level mechanisms. Methods: Using panel data of Chinese A-share listed pharmaceutical companies from 2010 to 2024, we constructed a multi-period difference-in-differences (DID) model to empirically analyze the causal effects, transmission mechanisms, and heterogeneity of negotiation access on pharmaceutical firms' innovation activities. Identification robustness was enhanced through a series of robustness tests including parallel trend tests, placebo tests, and a combination of Propensity Score Matching and Differences-in-Differences (PSM-DID). Results: Negotiation access significantly stimulated firms' innovation investment. Mechanism tests indicated the effect was driven by the external signal transmission channel, through enhanced capital market valuation and government subsidies, while the internal resource release channel was not effectively realized, as reductions in marketing intensity did not significantly increase innovation investment. Heterogeneity analysis showed stronger effects in large firms and those with greater market power, but with attenuated effects for firms negotiating shortly after drug launch. Further analysis revealed a structural divergence between strategic and substantive innovation: non-invention patent quantity increased without quality improvement, whereas invention patent quality improved despite insignificant changes in quantity. Conclusions: NDPN positively promotes innovation but with structural heterogeneity. Policies should maintain a value-oriented negotiation mechanism, ensure smooth external signal transmission, facilitate internal resource reallocation, support weaker firms and early-stage products, improve clinical access to achieve dual goals of "ensuring coverage" and "promoting innovation."

Indexed as

Drug CostsDrug IndustryNegotiatingChinaHumansInnovation investmentinnovation performanceMulti-period difference-in-differences modelNational drug price negotiationpharmaceutical firms

Identifiers

PMID42200135
PMCPMC13199223

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