Simulation and Response Surface Methodology for Predicting Mass Transfer in Coaxial Electrospun Core-Shell Fibers.

Coaxial electrospinning technology enables the fabrication of nanofibers with a core-shell structure, thereby facilitating the encapsulation of functional materials. Its efficacy lies in the precise regulation of mass transfer behavior at the sensing interface. However, achieving the controllable preparation of core-shell fiber structures in complex environments and quantitatively predicting their mass transfer kinetics remain challenging. This study aims to establish a predictive framework combining simulation and experiment. Firstly, finite element simulations using COMSOL clarified that increasing the shell thickness or decreasing its effective diffusion coefficient can significantly delay analyte transport. A model incorporating time-varying parameters further revealed the influence of polymer swelling on the initial release kinetics. Using the diffusion of an aqueous KCl solution as a model system, experiments confirmed that increasing the shell solution concentration is an effective processing strategy for enhancing the mass transfer barrier. Based on the Box-Behnken design and response surface methodology (RSM), a quantitative model linking key process parameters to release kinetic parameters was established. Model diagnostics indicated that the regression equation is significant and reliable. Validation experiments demonstrated that the model possesses good predictive capability for the key release kinetic parameters, with prediction errors within an acceptable range. The framework established in this study indicates that active design of the mass transfer behavior of core-shell fibers can be achieved through process control, providing a quantitative predictive tool and methodological reference for the preparation of controllable mass transfer interfaces for sensing applications.