Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42185086›Full record

ArticleAddiction (Abingdon, England)2026

Predictive validity of Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test - Consumption (AUDIT-C) for register-based alcohol-attributable events among general-population men and women of different ages.

Pia Mäkelä, Jaakko Reinikainen, Sarah Callinan, Marke Jääskeläinen, Kaisa Kuurne, Tomi Lintonen, Solja Niemelä, Jonna Levola

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Addiction (Abingdon, England), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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1citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Pia MäkeläFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3343-2139
Jaakko ReinikainenFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7825-5359
Sarah CallinanCentre for Alcohol Policy Research, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4146-1244
Marke JääskeläinenFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5355-7783
Kaisa KuurneHelsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0004-5983-5878
Tomi LintonenFinnish Foundation for Alcohol Studies, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3455-2439
Solja NiemeläDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Turku, Turku, Finland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1130-9161
Jonna LevolaHelsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4707-1485

Funding

Päivikki and Sakari Sohlberg Foundation
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsOriginally developed for clinical screening for hazardous alcohol use, the Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test - Consumption (AUDIT-C) is also widely used in epidemiological research and monitoring. However, its cutoff values may not suit all purposes, and evidence on its predictive validity is limited. We examined how AUDIT-C scores relate to subsequent register-based alcohol-attributable events across age and sex and identified optimal thresholds for predicting these outcomes.

designFive general population surveys conducted in 2011-2017, linked to nationwide registers with follow-up until the end of 2023 (total follow-up 879 964 person-years).

settingNationwide, Finland.

participantsAdults aged ≥20 years (n = 103 567). MEASUREMENTS: AUDIT-C to assess exposure. OUTCOME: incident alcohol-attributable events in any of the registers capturing care, deaths and prescription medicines (n = 1444).

findingsThe hazard of register-based alcohol-attributable events increased approximately exponentially with increasing AUDIT-C score. It rose more strongly among women than men [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.61, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.55-1.67 for women; HR = 1.45, 95% CI = 1.40-1.49 for men; P < 0.001 for the sex × AUDIT-C interaction]. The risk of alcohol-attributable events was statistically significantly raised at 2 points among women and 3 points among men with 1 point as a reference level. The suggested optimal cutoff values were 2 points for women aged ≥80, 3 points for women aged 65-79 and men aged ≥80, 5 points for women aged 20-64 and men aged 65-79 and 6 points for men aged 20-64.

conclusionsUsing Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test - Consumption (AUDIT-C) scores, optimal cutoff values for predicting alcohol-attributable harm may differ by age and sex, with lower cutoffs for older individuals and women. The ≥65 age group appears to be heterogeneous with regard to vulnerability to alcohol-attributable harm, which should be considered when establishing cutoffs or guidelines for alcohol use.

Indexed as

AlcoholismAlcohol-Related DisordersAdultAgedAge FactorsFemaleFinlandHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRegistriesReproducibility of ResultsSex FactorsYoung Adultage differencesalcohol‐attributable harmAUDIT‐Ccut‐offspredictive validityregisters

Identifiers

PMID42185086
PMCPMC13486905

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.