ArticleiScience2026
RustMAE: A Spatiotemporal Transformer for Short- to Medium-Term Warning of Wheat Stripe Rust Spring Spread.
Article in iScience, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Wheat stripe rust poses a significant threat to food security in China. This study proposes RustMAE, a spatiotemporal Transformer-based early warning method utilizing masked autoencoders for 14-day disease spread forecasting during the spring epidemic season. RustMAE employs a dual-branch MAE pre-training framework that integrates spectral reconstruction and spatial structure recovery to learn disease-relevant features from large-scale unlabeled remote sensing imagery. A multi-scale spatiotemporal attention mechanism captures disease evolution patterns across 3-, 7-, and 14-day windows. By fusing optical imagery, synthetic aperture radar, and meteorological factors, the model constructs a multi-source driven disease risk prediction system. Validation on 1,847 samples from Shaanxi, Gansu, and Henan provinces (2019-2024) demonstrates that RustMAE achieves 87.23% overall accuracy and 0.924 AUC, significantly outperforming benchmark methods. This approach provides an innovative pathway for precise wheat stripe rust early warning and control.
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