ArticleClimatic change2022
Climate Anomalies and Birth Rates in Sub-Saharan Africa.
Article in Climatic change, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed.
- An environment and comprehensive wellbeing (ECW) conceptual framework: exploring environmental relationships with objective and subjective wellbeing.Population and environment · 2026Article
- It's Raining Babies? Flood Exposures and Fertility in Bangladesh.Population and development review · 2025Article
- What's the TEE: Metrics of Temperature Extremes in Europe NUTS Regions (1980-2024).Scientific data · 2025Article
- Women, Girls, and the Climate Crisis: Advancing Reproductive Health and Rights and Gender Equality in Climate Policies at ICPD+30.Studies in family planning · 2025Article
- Fertility Intentions in Rural Malawi After Cyclone Idai.Population and environment · 2025Article
- Climate change and sexual and reproductive health and rights research in low-income and middle-income countries: a scoping review.BMJ public health · 2024Article
- Climatic change and household-level demographic dynamics: concepts and empirical evidence from sub-Saharan Africa.Population and environment · 2024Article
- Effects of extreme climate events and child mortality on total fertility rate in Bangladesh.Heliyon · 2024Article
- State-Level Immigrant Policies and Ideal Family Size in the United States.Population and development review · 2024Article
- Temperature anomalies undermine the health of reproductive-age women in low- and middle-income countries.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Research on climate change and human population growth has focused mainly on how population size affects greenhouse gas emissions. Much less is known about how changes in temperatures and precipitation, and corresponding socioeconomic impacts, influence population growth despite plausible rationale for such effects. We examine this relationship using birth histories from 1982 through 2017 in 23 sub-Saharan African countries, combined with high-resolution historical climate records. Our analyses show that exposure to climatic variability is associated with changes in the probability of childbearing, at least in the short run. Women exposed to spells of above-average temperatures and below-average precipitation experience significant reductions in the probability of fertility in the subsequent year. The association between precipitation anomalies and birth rates is particularly robust, through the estimated magnitude of effects is modest. We find substantively meaningful variation in both temperature and precipitation effects between demographic groups and across countries. Our results underscore the need to consider changes in fertility among the adaptive strategies households will employ in the face of environmental change. They also highlight the need to incorporate feedbacks between birth rates and fertility in models of population change and greenhouse gas emissions.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.