Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42180371›Full record

ArticlemedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences2026

Cost-Effective Threshold Price for Alternative Infant and Neonatal Rotavirus Vaccines: A Dual-Country Evaluation.

Xiao Li, Ernest O Asare, Jiye Kwon, Catherine G C Wenger, George E Armah, Nigel A Cunliffe, Khuzwayo C Jere, Joke Bilcke, Philippe Beutels, Virginia E Pitzer

Abstract readPreprint
In one paragraph

Article in medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Xiao LiCentre for Health Economics Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), University of Antwerp, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-1918-1791
Ernest O AsarePublic Health Modeling Unit, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-4078-8755
Jiye KwonPublic Health Modeling Unit, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-2707-3547
Catherine G C WengerDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States.ORCID 0009-0002-5564-0630
George E ArmahDepartment of Electron Microscopy and Histopathology, Noguchi Memorial Institute for Medical Research, Department of Disease Control and Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana.ORCID 0000-0001-6078-9953
Nigel A CunliffeDepartment of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, Merseyside, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-5449-4988
Khuzwayo C JereDepartment of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, Merseyside, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3376-8529
Joke BilckeCentre for Health Economics Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), University of Antwerp, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-5720-5291
Philippe BeutelsCentre for Health Economics Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), University of Antwerp, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-5034-3595
Virginia E PitzerPublic Health Modeling Unit, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-1015-2289

Funding

Modeling the impact and cost-effectiveness of next-generation rotavirus vaccine strategies in low- and middle-income countriesR01AI112970 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI PITZER, VIRGINIA E · 2015 to 2024
$4.1M
Predicting and monitoring variations in the effects of vaccines against RSVR01AI137093 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Virginia E Pitzer, Daniel Martin Weinberger · 2018 to 2026
$3.4M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI112970NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI137093
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Suboptimal rotavirus vaccine effectiveness in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) highlights the need for next-generation vaccines, such as the neonatal RV3-BB vaccine. However, there is uncertainty in the duration of protection and future price of vaccines in development. We aim to identify the conditions under which switching to RV3-BB is optimal in Malawi and Ghana, where the current immunization programs use 2-dose Rotarix and 3-dose Rotavac schedules, respectively. A full incremental cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using a validated transmission model calibrated to country-specific rotavirus data. Over 2025-2034, introducing RV3-BB resulted in the largest rotavirus-related burden reduction compared with the current country-specific programs. At moderate willingness-to-pay (~0.5-time Gross Domestic Product per capita), RV3-BB was preferred over Rotavac if price per dose was <$1.2 in Malawi and <$2.5 in Ghana, and/or if the average duration of protection exceeded 40 weeks in Malawi. The RV3-BB vaccine is likely to be cost-effective in Malawi and Ghana, as well as other LMICs, based on expected pricing and duration of protection.

Indexed as

Africacost-utility analysisgastroenteritisLMICneonatalnext-generation vaccinesrotavirusRV1RV3-BB

Identifiers

PMID42180371
PMCPMC13193085

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.