Renin-Guided Risk Stratification and Therapy in Hypertension to Reduce Major Adverse Cardiovascular Outcomes.

Background: Risk stratification in hypertension remains challenging. The prognostic value of plasma renin in guiding therapy for hypertension is not well established. Methods: In this multicenter retrospective cohort of 16,600 people with hypertension, we evaluated the association between plasma renin activity and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) defined as stroke, myocardial infarction, and all-cause death. Plasma renin was analyzed as a continuous variable using restricted cubic splines. A 6-month landmark analysis assessed treatment effects of mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRA) as opposed to baseline renin-angiotensin system inhibitors. Results: Continuous renin level showed a U-shaped association with MACE, with the lowest risk at 1.17ng/mL/h. In categorical analyses, low renin (<0.3 ng/mL/h; adjusted hazard ratio [HR]=1.29, 95% CI 1.15-1.45) and high renin (>3.0ng/mL/h; HR=1.19, 95% CI 1.06-1.33) were both associated with higher MACE risk. Initiation of MRA therapy after renin measurement was associated with a graded reduction in MACE risk where patients with low renin had the lowest risk (HR=0.75, 95%CI 0.60-0.92), and patients with high-renin had the highest risk (HR=1.41, 95%CI 1.03-1.94). In contrast, baseline use of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors was associated with a graded reduction in MACE risk where patients with high-renin had the lowest risk (HR=0.76, 95%CI 0.63-0.92) but those with low renin did not benefit (HR=0.87, 95%CI 0.72-1.04). Conclusions: Plasma renin is a prognostic biomarker for MACE and may serve as a guide for treatment selection. A renin-guided strategy that favors MRAs in patients with low renin may reduce MACE and support individualized hypertension care.