Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42174644›Full record

ArticleRadiation oncology (London, England)2026

Development of a multifactorial prediction model for symptomatic radiation pneumonitis in lung cancer patients undergoing stereotactic body radiotherapy.

Xiong Yang, Quncai Wang, Changli Ruan, Luzhou Wang, Hongyun Gong, David Huang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Radiation oncology (London, England), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Xiong Yang *Department of Radiation Oncology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, No. 238 Jiefang Road, Wuchang District, Wuhan, Hubei, 430060, China. rm003627@whu.edu.cn.
Quncai Wang *Department of Medical Imaging, Yueyang Central Hospital, No. 39 Dongmaoling Road, Yueyang, Hunan, 414000, China.
Changli RuanDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, No. 238 Jiefang Road, Wuchang District, Wuhan, Hubei, 430060, China.
Luzhou WangDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, No. 238 Jiefang Road, Wuchang District, Wuhan, Hubei, 430060, China.
Hongyun GongDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, No. 238 Jiefang Road, Wuchang District, Wuhan, Hubei, 430060, China. dr_gonghongyun@163.com.
David HuangMedical Physics Program, School of Physics, Beihang University, No. 37 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, 100191, China. huangd2013@outlook.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeSymptomatic radiation pneumonitis (SRP) remains a clinically significant toxicity following lung stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT). However, existing prediction models have seen limited clinical adoption, as they tend to be either too complex for routine application or too simplistic for reliable risk stratification. This study aimed to develop a robust prediction model by integrating key dosimetric, volumetric, and clinical variables, and to translate this model into a practical risk score to support individualized pretreatment assessment. MATERIALS AND

methodsThis retrospective analysis included 120 patients with primary lung cancer treated with SBRT between January 2019 and December 2024. A total of 24 demographic, clinical, volumetric, and dosimetric parameters were evaluated. The primary endpoint was the development of SRP. A three-step statistical framework was employed for model development. First, candidate predictors were identified using univariate analysis (Mann-Whitney U test for continuous variables and Chi-square test for categorical variables), with statistical significance defined as p < 0.05. Second, this set of variables was refined through multicollinearity diagnosis using Spearman correlation and variance inflation factor (VIF) analysis to ensure predictor independence. Third, an optimal multivariate logistic regression model was constructed, incorporating the synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) to address class imbalance, and validated using 5-fold cross-validation and an independent test set. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, calibration plots, and the Brier score. A practical risk stratification system was subsequently developed based on the model's predicted probabilities.

resultsThe overall incidence of SRP was 43.3% (52/120). Univariate analysis identified 12 variables significantly associated with SRP (p < 0.05), encompassing all dose-volume histogram (DVH) parameters (V

conclusionThe integration of a low-dose parameter (V

Indexed as

Lung NeoplasmsRadiation PneumonitisRadiosurgeryAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrediction AlgorithmsRadiotherapy DosageRetrospective StudiesROC CurveLung cancerLung-to-PTV ratio (LPR)Radiation pneumonitis (RP)Risk stratificationStereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT)

Identifiers

PMID42174644
PMCPMC13371343

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.