Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42174480›Full record

ArticleBMC pregnancy and childbirth2026

Longitudinal evaluation of cervical length for the prediction of mid-trimester cervical length in low-risk population.

Bilge Cetinkaya Demir, Murat Deniz Celenk, Gokhan Ocakoglu

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Article in BMC pregnancy and childbirth, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Bilge Cetinkaya DemirDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Medicine, Bursa Uludag University, Bursa, Turkey. drbilgecd@gmail.com.
Murat Deniz CelenkDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Medicine, Bursa Uludag University, Bursa, Turkey.
Gokhan OcakogluDepartment of Biostatistics, Faculty of Medicine, Bursa Uludag University, Bursa, Turkey.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPreterm birth (PTB) remains a leading cause of perinatal mortality and long-term morbidity. While screening strategies primarily target high-risk populations, a substantial proportion of PTBs occur in low-risk women. Mid-trimester cervical length (CL) assessment may be implemented too late for effective prevention. Earlier evaluation in the first trimester may improve risk stratification.

objectiveTo longitudinally evaluate cervical length from the first to the second trimester and assess its ability to predict mid-trimester CL and PTB in a low-risk population.

methodsIn this prospective cohort study, 292 low-risk pregnant women underwent transvaginal ultrasound at 11-14, 16-20, and 20-24 weeks of gestation. Cervical measurements included single-line CL (A), two-line components (B: internal os to cervical angulation; C: angulation to external os), and anterior (D) and posterior (E) cervical lip widths. Longitudinal changes were analyzed, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to evaluate predictive performance for PTB <35 weeks.

resultsMedian single-line CL (A) increased from 37.7 mm (29-58) at 11-14 weeks to 41.8 mm (28-66) at 20-24 weeks. This increase was primarily driven by elongation of the B component (13% increase, p<0.001), while the C component remained stable. First-trimester CL demonstrated limited predictive performance for PTB, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.61.

conclusionCervical length increases from the first to the second trimester in low-risk pregnancies, mainly due to changes in the proximal cervical segment. First-trimester CL measurement has limited value in predicting PTB, supporting the continued use of mid-trimester assessment for risk stratification.

Indexed as

Cervical Length MeasurementCervix UteriPregnancy Trimester, SecondPremature BirthAdultFemaleGestational AgeHumansLongitudinal StudiesPredictive Value of TestsPregnancyProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentROC CurveUltrasonography, Prenatalcervical lengthmid-trimester cervical lengthPreterm birthtransvaginal ultrasonography

Identifiers

PMID42174480
PMCPMC13371215

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.