Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42174180›Full record

ArticleCommunications medicine2026

Genomic evolution and climate related drivers of cholera surges in Dhaka Bangladesh between 1996 and 2024.

Md Mamun Monir, Khalilur Rahman, Mohammad Tarequl Islam, Marzia Sultana, Wali Ullah, Sardar Muhammad Osail, Md Alimul Islam Ridoy, Abdullah Al-Mamun, Shirajum Monira, Kimberley D Seed and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Md Mamun Moniricddr,b, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Khalilur Rahmanicddr,b, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Mohammad Tarequl Islamicddr,b, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Marzia Sultanaicddr,b, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Wali Ullahicddr,b, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Sardar Muhammad Osailicddr,b, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Md Alimul Islam Ridoyicddr,b, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Abdullah Al-Mamunicddr,b, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0008-7854-3116
Shirajum Moniraicddr,b, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Kimberley D SeedDepartment of Plant and Microbial Biology, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0139-1600
Andrew CamilliDepartment Molecular Biology and Microbiology, Tufts University, Boston, MA, USA.
Carla MavianEmerging Pathogens Institute, Department of Pathology, College of Medicine, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3819-5520
Nicholas ThomsonParasites and Microbes Program, Wellcome Sanger Institute, Wellcome Genome Campus, Hinxton, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4432-8505
Rita R ColwellCell Biology and Molecular Genetics, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5432-1502
Asg Faruqueicddr,b, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Tahmeed Ahmedicddr,b, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Munirul Alamicddr,b, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh. munirul@icddrb.org.

Funding

EPIDEMIOLOGY &ECOLOGY OF VIBRIO CHOLERAE IN BANGLADESHR01AI039129 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SACK, DAVID A · 1996 to 2014
$15.2M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI039129Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCholera, a climate-associated diarrhea occurs endemically in Dhaka city, Bangladesh, often turning into large epidemics. In 2022, a massive outbreak struck Dhaka city, resulting in a very high number of cholera cases. Although extensive studies have focused on climate and cholera, including genomic evolution of the causative agent, Vibrio cholerae, their association with the case surges remains poorly understood.

methodsWe analyzed cholera data between 1996 and 2024 from the Diarrheal Disease Surveillance System (DDSS) of icddr,b, and also conducted a follow up genomic analysis of V. cholerae O1 El Tor by including newly sequenced and archived sequence data. Integrated analyses of genomic, climatic, and cholera surveillance data investigated the role of different factors on yearly case surges in Dhaka city.

resultsAnalysis of DDSS data shows temporal changes of cholera cases across Dhaka city, and genomic analysis shows continuous evolution of V. cholerae. Association analysis of cholera case data against the genomic data reveals that co-circulation of multiple lineages/sub lineages of V. cholerae, as well as their flux between the years with newly introduced or re-emerged lineages, are significantly (p-value <= 0.05) associated with the yearly cholera cases in Dhaka city. Integrated statistical association analysis of cholera cases with the climate and genomic evolutionary factors also reveals a significant association.

conclusionsThis study associates climate factors and the V. cholerae genome evolutionary events with interannual variation, such as high and low cholera, including surges of the disease in Dhaka city.

Identifiers

PMID42174180
PMCPMC13469620

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.