Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42171901›Full record

SynthesisAdvances in therapy2026

Indirect Treatment Comparison of the Efficacy of Long-Acting Injectable Cabotegravir Compared With Lenacapavir for HIV Pre-exposure Prophylaxis.

Neil Hawkins, Aniruddha Hazra, Marisa Brizzi, Juliette Thompson, Richard Grove, Marius Sieverding, Piotr Budnik, Jenny Scherzer, Natalya Danchenko, Sarah-Jane Anderson and 1 more

Abstract readComparative StudySystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Advances in therapy, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Trial
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Neil HawkinsVisible Analytics, Oxford, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3199-221X
Aniruddha HazraSection of Infectious Diseases & Global Health, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8557-4465
Marisa BrizziUC Health, Cincinnati, OH, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6986-2042
Juliette ThompsonVisible Analytics, Oxford, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7646-9460
Richard GroveGSK, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5722-4406
Marius SieverdingVeramed, Frankfurt, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2178-4743
Piotr BudnikViiV Healthcare, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0009-4344-2822
Jenny ScherzerViiV Healthcare, Munich, Germany.
Natalya DanchenkoViiV Healthcare, 23 Rue François Jacob, 92500, Rueil-Malmaison, France.
Sarah-Jane AndersonGSK, London, UK.
Laure Dupont-BenjaminViiV Healthcare, 23 Rue François Jacob, 92500, Rueil-Malmaison, France. laure.x.dupontbenjamin@viivhealthcare.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7748-0768

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionLong-acting injectable cabotegravir (hereafter referred to as cabotegravir) is the first long-acting injectable approved for pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) based on the HPTN 083 and 084 trials. Long-acting injectable lenacapavir (hereafter referred to as lenacapavir) was approved for PrEP based on the PURPOSE 1 and 2 trials. In the absence of a head-to-head trial, we conducted an indirect treatment comparison (ITC) to assess efficacy of lenacapavir versus cabotegravir in reducing the risk of HIV acquisition.

methodsA systematic literature review identified all relevant trials. Efficacy inputs for this ITC were derived from re-adjudicated data from the injection phase of the HPTN trials or published data from the PURPOSE trials. The ITC was performed using 2 network approaches: (1) using no PrEP and (2) using daily oral tenofovir disoproxil fumarate/emtricitabine (TDF/FTC) as common comparators, with adjustments accounting for differing levels of adherence to TDF/FTC across trials. Sensitivity analyses were also performed using data from both the oral lead-in and injection phases of the HPTN trials.

resultsBoth network approaches estimated high and comparable efficacy of cabotegravir and lenacapavir. Using no PrEP (network approach 1), the base case estimated hazard ratio (95% CrI) of lenacapavir versus cabotegravir was 1.04 (0.19, 5.69) in men who have sex with men and transgender women and 0.00 (0.00, 3.21) in cisgender women. Predicted efficacy (95% CrI) rates of cabotegravir versus no PrEP were high in men who have sex with men and transgender women 96% (90%, 98%)] and cisgender women [98% (89%, 100%)] in the HPTN trials, which were comparable to the PURPOSE trials [men and gender-diverse people, 96% (82%, 99%); cisgender women, 100%(96%,100%)]. Sensitivity analyses confirmed these findings.

conclusionBased on this ITC, cabotegravir and lenacapavir offer similar and high efficacy in preventing HIV acquisitions compared with no PrEP or TDF/FTC. Graphical abstract and video abstract available for this article.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsHIV InfectionsPre-Exposure ProphylaxisPyridonesAcetamidesDiketopiperazinesFemaleHumansIndazolesMaleTreatment OutcomeAcetamidesAnti-HIV AgentscabotegravirDiketopiperazinesIndazoleslenacapavirPyridonesCabotegravirEfficacyHIVIndirect treatment comparisonLenacapavirLong-acting injectableOral tenofovir disoproxil fumarate/emtricitabinePre-exposure prophylaxisPrEP

Identifiers

PMID42171901
PMCPMC13415281

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.