Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42169694›Full record

Trial reportOpen forum infectious diseases2026

Risk of Developing Low-Level Viral Rebound Among People With HIV Receiving 2- or 3-Drug Regimens: A Case-Control Study Nested in the ICONA Cohort.

Alessandra Vergori, Adriana Cervo, Ashley Roen, Roberta Gagliardini, Tommaso Clemente, Valentina Mazzotta, Eugenia Quiros-Roldan, Franco Maggiolo, Sergio Lo Caputo, Cristina Mussini and 3 more

Abstract readClinical Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Open forum infectious diseases, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Alessandra VergoriViral Immunodeficiency Unit, National Institute for Infectious Diseases Lazzaro Spallanzani, IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Adriana CervoInfectious Diseases Clinic, University Hospital of Modena, Modena, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1384-7847
Ashley RoenCentre for Clinical Research, Epidemiology, Modelling and Evaluation, Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2859-0682
Roberta GagliardiniViral Immunodeficiency Unit, National Institute for Infectious Diseases Lazzaro Spallanzani, IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Tommaso ClementeInfectious Diseases, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6548-3427
Valentina MazzottaViral Immunodeficiency Unit, National Institute for Infectious Diseases Lazzaro Spallanzani, IRCCS, Rome, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0240-7504
Eugenia Quiros-RoldanDivision of Infectious and Tropical Medicine, ASST Spedali Civili, Brescia, Italy.
Franco MaggioloIndependent Infectious Diseases Specialist, Fabro, Italy.
Sergio Lo CaputoClinic of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Foggia, Foggia, Italy.
Cristina MussiniInfectious Diseases Clinic, University Hospital of Modena, Modena, Italy.
Andrea AntinoriViral Immunodeficiency Unit, National Institute for Infectious Diseases Lazzaro Spallanzani, IRCCS, Rome, Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2121-4684
Alessandro Cozzi-LepriCentre for Clinical Research, Epidemiology, Modelling and Evaluation, Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6339-919X
ICONA Foundation Study

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The risk of developing low-level viral rebound (LLVR) after achieving human immunodeficiency virus HIV-1 (HIV) RNA suppression with 2-drug regimens (2DR) compared to 3-drug regimens (3DR) remains uncertain. Methods: We conducted a matched 1:3 case-control study nested within the ICONA cohort including persons with HIV (PWH) who achieved virological suppression (≥2 consecutive HIV-RNA ≤50 copies/mL over 6 months) after 11 November 2014 (baseline [BL]). Cases were defined as PWH experiencing a single HIV-RNA of 51-199 copies/mL after BL (index date); controls were defined as those who maintained HIV-RNA ≤50 copies/mL up to the index date and were matched for history of care gaps and number of drugs failed. The cumulative incidence of LLVR after virological suppression was estimated using Kaplan-Meier methods, and conditional logistic regression models were used to evaluate the association between the current antiretroviral therapy regimen (2DR [dolutegravir/lamivudine, dolutegravir/rilpivirine, dolutegravir/doravirine, or cabotegravir/rilpivirine] vs 3DR [dolutegravir, bictegravir, rilpivirine, doravirine, boosted darunavir, or boosted atazanavir-based with a backbone of tenofovir and lamivudine or emtricitabine]) and LLVR risk. In sensitivity analyses cases were defined as PWH experiencing 2 consecutive HIV-RNA of 51-199 copies/mL. Results: Among 1033 PWH (261 cases, 772 matched controls), 21% were female, median age was 43 (interquartile range [IQR], 34-51) years, and BL CD4 count was 601 (IQR, 379-826) cells/μL; 2DR use was 25% in cases versus 29% in controls ( Conclusions: Despite the wide range of plausibility, we can exclude a risk of LLVR higher than 29% when using 2DR versus 3DR regimens.

Indexed as

2-drug regimen3-drug regimenHIVlow-level viral reboundmodern antiretroviral therapy

Identifiers

PMID42169694
PMCPMC13187831

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.