Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42168131›Full record

ArticleAlimentary pharmacology & therapeutics2026

Temporal Association Between COVID-19 Vaccination and HBsAg Loss in Chronic Hepatitis B Infection: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis.

Jonggi Choi, Allison Carroll, Vy H Nguyen, Megan Michta, Xuan Q Zhang, Young-Suk Lim, Raymond T Chung

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Article in Alimentary pharmacology & therapeutics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

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4citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jonggi ChoiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Liver Center, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Allison CarrollDepartment of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Vy H NguyenHarvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Megan MichtaLiver Center, Gastroenterology Division, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Xuan Q ZhangDepartment of Family Medicine, Newton-Wellesley Hospital, Newton, Massachusetts, USA.
Young-Suk LimDepartment of Gastroenterology, Liver Center, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1544-577X
Raymond T ChungLiver Center, Gastroenterology Division, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.

Funding

Virology CoreU19AI082630 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI ARTHUR Y KIM · 2009 to 2026
$48.1M
NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI082630NIH HHS U19 AI082630
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsHepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss, a functional cure in chronic hepatitis (CHB), is rare. Temporal changes in HBsAg loss rates were evaluated in relation to COVID-19 vaccination rollout in South Korea.

methodsAn interrupted time series (ITS) analysis was performed using electronic health records of 59,946 adults with CHB (2002-2025). Monthly HBsAg loss incidence rates were estimated using a competing risk framework. National COVID-19 vaccination coverage was used as a surrogate for population-level exposure. A three-phase segmental regression model assessed changes before vaccination, during a predefined vaccination effect period (18 months following ≥ 80% of two-dose coverage), and after this period. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence was analysed as a negative control.

resultsOver 382,509 person-years, 2483 HBsAg loss events occurred. Pre-vaccination rates were stable (0.11-0.80 per 100 person-years). Following the COVID-19 vaccination rollout, the incidence increased to 0.96 in 2021, peaking at 1.27 in 2022, before declining to 0.93 in 2024. In the ITS model, no baseline trend was observed (p = 0.606). At the intervention point (November 2021), HBsAg loss rates increased significantly (incidence rate ratio; 1.56; 95% CI 1.26-1.93; p < 0.001). No significant slope change was observed during the vaccination period, while a negative slope change was observed post-vaccination (coefficient -0.039 per month; p = 0.003). Findings were consistent across sensitivity and subgroup analyses. HCC incidence showed no significant changes.

conclusionCOVID-19 vaccination was temporally associated with transiently higher HBsAg loss rates in CHB, followed by attenuation, suggesting a potential population-level immunomodulatory effect on HBV dynamics.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesHepatitis B, ChronicHepatitis B Surface AntigensAdultAgedCarcinoma, HepatocellularFemaleHumansIncidenceInterrupted Time Series AnalysisLiver NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedRepublic of KoreaVaccinationCOVID-19 VaccinesHepatitis B Surface Antigenschronic hepatitis BCOVID‐19hepatitis B surface antigen

Identifiers

PMID42168131
PMCPMC13420994

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.