Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42162357›Full record

ArticleNature food2026

Including ozone increases estimated global crop and economic benefits of carbon neutrality policies.

Yi-Ming Wei, Si-Yi Wei, Biying Yu, Li-Jing Liu, Xiao-Chen Yuan, Qiao-Mei Liang, Jon Sampedro, Xin-Yang Jiang, Chang-Jing Ji, Chen Yi and 4 more

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature food, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Yi-Ming WeiCentre for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China. wei@bit.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8476-7334
Si-Yi WeiCentre for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-8027
Biying YuCentre for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China. yubiying_bj@bit.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3108-2702
Li-Jing LiuCentre for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China. liulijing@bit.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2037-1074
Xiao-Chen YuanCentre for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China. yuanxc@bit.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1925-2550
Qiao-Mei LiangCentre for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9679-4447
Jon SampedroBasque Centre for Climate Change (BC3), Sede Building 1, Scientific Campus of the University of the Basque Country, Leioa, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2277-1530
Xin-Yang JiangCentre for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.
Chang-Jing JiCentre for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.
Chen YiCentre for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-3972-7639
Si-Yu LiuCentre for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.
Bo YangCentre for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.
Yun-Fei YaoSINOPEC Research Institute of Petroleum Engineering, Beijing, China.
Drew ShindellNicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA. drew.shindell@duke.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1552-4715

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 72074021National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 72074022National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 72474021National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) No.72225010National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) No.72488101, No.72293605
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change and ozone change are two major channels through which climate policies influence agricultural production, yet most studies assess climate or ozone in isolation, which can limit the accuracy of estimated climate policy effects. Here we use an integrated model to quantify how carbon neutrality policies pledged by 153 countries affect yields of maize, rice, soybean and wheat and the associated economic outcomes. We show that excluding ozone change may understate the benefits of existing carbon neutrality policies for the four main crops, by up to 38.7%. By including the combined effect of ozone and climate, carbon neutrality policies can prevent 0.5-41.5% in losses, and more than 70% of the crop area would experience crop gains compared with the no policy scenario. For countries that still experience agricultural losses, we discuss options to reduce food security risks in terms of mitigation policies, adaptation measures and agricultural trade agreements.

Indexed as

AgricultureCarbonCrops, AgriculturalOzoneClimate ChangeFood SecurityGlycine maxZea maysCarbonOzone

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.