Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42158702›Full record

ArticleTranslational pediatrics2026

Under-5 mortality of infectious diseases in 204 countries between 1990 and 2021.

Jintong Tan, Zhanghua Yin, Chaochao Wen, Yujie Xie, Jianyuan Zhao, Yan Chen, Yongjun Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Translational pediatrics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jintong Tan *Department of Pediatrics, Xinhua Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
Zhanghua Yin *Department of Pediatrics, Xinhua Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
Chaochao WenDepartment of Pediatrics, Xinhua Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
Yujie XieDepartment of Pediatrics, Xinhua Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
Jianyuan ZhaoInstitute for Developmental and Regenerative Cardiovascular Medicine, MOE-Shanghai Key Laboratory of Children's Environmental Health, Xinhua Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
Yan Chen *Department of Pediatrics, Xinhua Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.
Yongjun Zhang *Department of Pediatrics, Xinhua Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9326-1012

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Infectious diseases account for nearly half of all under-5 deaths globally. Research on trends in total and specific infections remains limited. We aimed to comprehensively assess the under-5 mortality trends due to infections worldwide. Methods: Data covering 38 infectious diseases were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in under-5 mortality rate (U5MR) was calculated by gender, age, region, country and socio-demographic index (SDI). Bayesian age-period-cohort model was used to forecast future trajectories. Results: In 2021, infectious diseases caused 2.0 million under-5 deaths globally, with neonatal deaths accounting for 24.0%. The U5MR due to infections dropped 70% from 1,022.3 to 306.7 per 100,000 between 1990 and 2021. The neonatal infections mortality rate decreased relatively slowly by 58.7%, with an EAPC of -0.9% [95% confidence interval (CI): -1.0% to -0.8%] in neonatal sepsis and other infections, and -1.4% (95% CI: -1.6% to -1.2%) in non-HIV sexually transmitted infections. U5MR for most infectious diseases decreased with rising SDI. Notably, HIV/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) in South Asia, East Asia and Oceania, and dengue in high-income North America and Australasia exhibited upward trends. Disparities existed in infectious disease burden among nations, with South Sudan having the highest U5MR due to infections in 2021 (1,562.6 per 100,000). By 2050, the global U5MR due to infections was predicted to decrease to 174.5 per 100,000. Conclusions: The overall burden of infectious diseases in children under 5 years of age has declined. Enhancing neonatal care is crucial for further reducing U5MR. Rising HIV/AIDS and tropical infections in certain regions require region-individualized strategies to achieve Sustainable Development Goals sooner.

Indexed as

forecastglobal burdeninfectious diseasestrendsUnder-5 mortality rate (U5MR)

Identifiers

PMID42158702
PMCPMC13181627

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.