ArticleNature communications2026
The Silent Expansion of Fire Activity in Continental Tropical Asia shaped by natural and anthropogenic forces.
Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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7 authors.
Funding
Abstract
While research has largely focused on boreal fires, here we show a significant increase in spring fire activity across continental tropical Asia between 2001 and 2020, characterized by two prominent hotspots. We further show that this upward trend in fire activity is driven by distinct regional mechanisms. In the Indian Peninsula hotspot, anthropogenic agricultural burning across expanding cropland has amplified fire activity. In contrast, the Indo-China Peninsula hotspot is dominated by wildfires linked to reduced precipitation driven by internal climate variability. Large ensemble climate simulations identify Pacific decadal variability as a key driver of this regional drying, beyond what can be explained by anthropogenic forcing alone. These findings highlight an overlooked increase in tropical fire activity and reveal distinct regional drivers shaping the overall upward fire trend across continental tropical Asia. Policymakers should account for these factors to design effective climate mitigation and fire risk management strategies for the region.
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