Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42152763›Full record

ArticleThoracic cancer2026

Trends in the Overall Incidence and Mortality of Lung Cancer: An Extensive Longitudinal Study Utilizing the CDC WONDER Database 1999-2020.

Abdul Qahar Khan Yasinzai, Anaya Abdul Samad, Li Ziyang, Jaylyn Robinson, Muhammad Samsoor Zarak, Marjan Khan, Syed Ehsanullah, Teresa López Fernández, Nicolas L Palaskas, Asad Ullah and 1 more

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Article in Thoracic cancer, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Abdul Qahar Khan YasinzaiUniversity of Florida Health Cancer Center, Gainesville, Florida, USA.
Anaya Abdul SamadBolan Medical Complex Hospital, Quetta, Pakistan.
Li ZiyangTexas Tech University Health Sciences Center, Lubbock, Texas, USA.
Jaylyn RobinsonTexas Tech University Health Sciences Center, Lubbock, Texas, USA.
Muhammad Samsoor ZarakStanford Medicine Cancer Center, Stanford, California, USA.
Marjan KhanMarshfield Medical Center, Marshfield, Wisconsin, USA.
Syed EhsanullahBolan Medical Complex Hospital, Quetta, Pakistan.
Teresa López FernándezLa Paz University Hospital, IdipPAZ Research Institute, Madrid, Spain.
Nicolas L PalaskasThe University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, USA.
Asad UllahTexas Tech University Health Sciences Center, Lubbock, Texas, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7017-0812
Nagla Abdel KarimThe George Washington University, Washington, DC, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLung cancer remains a leading cause of global mortality despite declining rates. Since 2010, FDA-approved immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have transformed treatment. This study investigates lung cancer incidence and mortality trends, emphasizing temporal associations with ICI integration and smoking patterns. MATERIALS AND

methodsData (1999-2020) were extracted from the CDC WONDER database. Trends were analyzed using joinpoint regression to determine the annual percent change (APC).

resultsLung cancer incidence declined from 1999 to 2020, with the sharpest decrease post-2018 (APC -6.90) compared to 2006-2018 (APC -1.78). Males saw steeper declines than females; however, American Indians/Alaska Natives showed an increasing trend (APC 3.96). Smoking prevalence decreased overall (1965-2018), though youth smoking rose between 1992 and 2004. By 2018, smoking was highest among American Indians/Alaska Natives (25.9%). Lung cancer mortality declined steadily since 1999, accelerating after 2014 (APC -4.10). Conversely, cardiovascular (CVS) mortality decline decelerated after 2015, stabilizing between 2018 and 2020 (APC 0.82; 95% CI -0.53 to 1.81).

conclusionLung cancer incidence and mortality declined significantly over two decades. The accelerated mortality declines post-2014 coincide with the clinical integration of ICIs. The stabilization of CVS mortality after 2015 reflects a shift in the clinical profile, potentially related to competing risks and ICI-related trends, warranting further investigation into whether population-level CVS mortality is influenced by immunotherapy.

Indexed as

Lung NeoplasmsAgedDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedUnited Statesdatabases (CDC)immunotherapylung neoplasmsmortalityregression analysis

Identifiers

PMID42152763
PMCPMC13184548

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.