Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42149243›Full record

ArticleIntensive care medicine2026

Reproducible clinical archetypes in acute respiratory failure: a multi-cohort trajectory analysis.

Dominic C Marshall, Ashleigh D Green, Matthieu Komorowski, Brijesh V Patel, Sonali Parbhoo, David B Antcliffe

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Intensive care medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Dominic C MarshallDivision of Anaesthetics, Pain Medicine and Intensive Care, Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK. dominic.marshall12@imperial.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3498-2511
Ashleigh D GreenDivision of Anaesthetics, Pain Medicine and Intensive Care, Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Matthieu KomorowskiSTRIVE, London, UK.
Brijesh V PatelDivision of Anaesthetics, Pain Medicine and Intensive Care, Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Sonali ParbhooSchool of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Imperial College London, London, UK.
David B AntcliffeDivision of Anaesthetics, Pain Medicine and Intensive Care, Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/W00710X/1Medical Research Council MR/Y000404/1National Institute for Health and Care Research NIHR303768
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeAcute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) is common and biologically heterogeneous. Static phenotyping at a single time point does not capture illness evolution and risks stage-mixing; reproducible clinical course archetypes may address this. We aimed to identify, externally validate, and predict trajectory classes (TCs) of persistent AHRF.

methodsWe analyzed MIMIC-IV (derivation; n = 3938) and two external validation cohorts (UK/Netherlands; n = 6480) comprising adults with PaO

resultsA four-class model provided optimal fit: (TC1) early recovery (0.3% 14-day mortality); (TC2) stable persistence (8% 14-day mortality); (TC3) biphasic improvement-deterioration (17% 14-day mortality); and (TC4) rapid decline (100% 14-day mortality). These archetypes generalized to external cohorts with high assignment certainty. TCs demonstrated distinct patterns in other clinical biomarker trajectories. TC4 was enriched for the hyperinflammatory subphenotype (41-53%), while TC2 was most common in patients with ARDS (50%). Early TC prediction models achieved mean AUCs ≥ 0.78 (0.70-0.86) by day 3 in external validation.

conclusionsFour reproducible oxygenation archetypes capture the 14-day course of persistent respiratory failure. By providing early prognostic value distinct from static baseline severity, these trajectories have the potential to guide therapeutic strategies, reduce patient heterogeneity in trials, and direct biological phenotyping.

Indexed as

Respiratory InsufficiencyAcute DiseaseAgedCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIntensive Care UnitsMaleMiddle AgedPhenotypeReproducibility of ResultsRespiratory Distress SyndromeAcute hypoxemic respiratory failureSubphenotypingTrajectories

Identifiers

PMID42149243
PMCPMC13341900

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