Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42145607›Full record

ArticlemedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences2026

Frequent introductions and climate suitability drive increasing dengue risk in Florida.

Emma Taylor-Salmon, Yi Ting Chew, Rafael Lopes, Timothy Locksmith, Edgar Kopp, Julieta Vergara, Amanda Davis, Molly Mitchell, Pamela Colarusso, Sarah Schmedes and 16 more

Abstract readPreprint
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

26 authors.

Emma Taylor-SalmonDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Yi Ting ChewDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Rafael LopesDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9416-6145
Timothy LocksmithBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, Florida, USA.
Edgar KoppBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, Florida, USA.
Julieta VergaraBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, Florida, USA.
Amanda DavisBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Jacksonville, Florida, USA.
Molly MitchellBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Jacksonville, Florida, USA.
Pamela ColarussoBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Jacksonville, Florida, USA.
Sarah SchmedesBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Jacksonville, Florida, USA.
Valerie MockBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Jacksonville, Florida, USA.
Blake ScottBureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, Florida, USA.
Rebecca ZimlerBureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, Florida, USA.
Chalmers VasquezMiami-Dade County Mosquito Control, Miami, Florida, USA.
Maday MorenoMiami-Dade County Mosquito Control, Miami, Florida, USA.
Lauren M PaulDepartment of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, Florida, USA.
Scott F MichaelDepartment of Biological Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Florida Gulf Coast University, Fort Myers, Florida, USA.
Mallery I BrebanDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Chantal B F VogelsDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Joshua L WarrenPublic Health Modeling Unit, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Colin J CarlsonDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6960-8434
Danielle StanekBureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, Florida, USA.
Lea HeberleinBureau of Public Health Laboratories, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tampa, Florida, USA.
Verity HillDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Andrea MorrisonBureau of Epidemiology, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Florida Department of Health, Tallahassee, Florida, USA.
Nathan D GrubaughDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2031-1933

Funding

Enhancing dengue virus genomic surveillance to uncover circulating genetic diversityDP2AI176740 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI GRUBAUGH, NATHAN DALE · 2022 to 2025
$2.5M
Novel organic-ion-based technology for long-term virus preservation at ambient temperatureR21GM142011 · NIGMS · FLORIDA GULF COAST UNIVERSITY · PI MICHAEL, SCOTT F, MIRJAFARI, ARSALAN · 2022 to 2023
$341k
NIAID NIH HHS DP2 AI176740NIGMS NIH HHS R21 GM142011
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In recent years, detection of local dengue cases in Florida have increased in both frequency and geographical extent. From 2022 to 2024, consecutive outbreaks in Miami-Dade County were mainly caused by a single lineage of dengue virus (DENV) serotype 3, prompting questions about changing epidemiology and a transition towards endemicity. In this study, we used mathematical modeling and genomic epidemiology to reveal the spatiotemporal dynamics and drivers of local dengue cases in Florida. We found that annual clusters and outbreaks were caused by frequent short-lived DENV introductions, primarily from the Caribbean, and did not find evidence for local trans-seasonal DENV lineage persistence. Further, we show that the climate-driven increases in local suitability for

Identifiers

PMID42145607
PMCPMC13174716

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.