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ArticleEuropean spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society2026

Preoperative risk stratification for long-term neurological status in spinal ependymoma: an MRI-centered nomogram.

Bo Wang, Weihao Liu, Chong Wang, Kai Ji, Yaowu Zhang, Guanghao Zheng, Xingyu Liu, Tianyi Zhang, Yixiang Liu, Ting Sun and 2 more

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Article in European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Bo WangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Weihao LiuDepartment of Neurosurgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Chong WangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Kai JiDepartment of Neurosurgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Yaowu ZhangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Guanghao ZhengDepartment of Neurosurgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Xingyu LiuDepartment of Neurosurgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Tianyi ZhangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Yixiang LiuDepartment of Neurosurgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Ting SunDepartment of Radiology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China. m18800161377@163.com.
Yongzhi WangDepartment of Neurosurgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China. yongzhiwang_bni@163.com.
Wenqing JiaDepartment of Neurosurgery, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China. coffeemd@163.com.

Funding

Beijing Municipal Health Commission 11000023T000002044300-2National Natural Science Foundation of China 82402387
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeDespite favorable long-term survival in WHO grade 2 spinal ependymoma, long-term neurological impairment remains clinically important. This study aimed to develop an MRI-centered preoperative nomogram for individualized prediction of long-term unfavorable neurological status.

methodsThis retrospective study included 582 patients with histopathologically confirmed WHO grade 2 spinal ependymoma. Long-term neurological status was assessed using the modified McCormick Scale (MMS), with final MMS > II defined as unfavorable status. Candidate preoperative predictors were evaluated using univariable logistic regression and collinearity diagnostics. The final model incorporated preoperative MMS and five routinely available MRI predictors: tumor-to-cord ratio, tumor location, intratumoral hemorrhage, peripheral edema, and MRI classification. Model performance was assessed using discrimination, calibration, bootstrap internal validation, and decision curve analysis.

resultsAmong 582 patients, 120 had unfavorable neurological status at final follow-up. The final MRI-centered model showed good discrimination, with an apparent AUC of 0.818 (95% CI, 0.776-0.859) and an optimism-corrected AUC of 0.797 after 1000 bootstrap resamples. Calibration analysis showed satisfactory agreement between predicted and observed probabilities, with a Brier score of 0.125. Decision curve analysis demonstrated positive net benefit over an approximate threshold range of 0.01-0.66.

conclusionAn MRI-centered preoperative nomogram integrating preoperative MMS and routinely available MRI predictors may support individualized risk stratification in patients with WHO grade 2 spinal ependymoma. This tool may assist preoperative counseling and risk-informed surgical planning, although external validation is required before broader clinical implementation.

Indexed as

Magnetic resonance imagingNeurological outcomeNomogramRisk stratificationSpinal ependymoma

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.