Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42143073›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Subsidence more than doubles sea-level rise today along densely populated coasts.

Julius Oelsmann, Robert J Nicholls, Daniel Lincke, Marta Marcos, Manoochehr Shirzaei, Laura Sánchez, Leonard Ohenhen, Denise Dettmering, Jochen Hinkel, Benjamin P Horton and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. How coastal resilience emerges.Nature communications · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Julius OelsmannDeutsches Geodätisches Forschungsinstitut, Technische Universität München, München, Germany. julius.oelsmann@tum.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3950-0881
Robert J NichollsTyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9715-1109
Daniel LinckeGlobal Climate Forum, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4250-5077
Marta MarcosIMEDEA, (UIB-CSIC), Esporles, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9975-5013
Manoochehr ShirzaeiDepartment of Geosciences, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0086-3722
Laura SánchezDeutsches Geodätisches Forschungsinstitut, Technische Universität München, München, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3885-0436
Leonard OhenhenDepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA.
Denise DettmeringDeutsches Geodätisches Forschungsinstitut, Technische Universität München, München, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8940-4639
Jochen HinkelGlobal Climate Forum, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7590-992X
Benjamin P HortonSchool of Energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, SAR, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9245-3768
Florian SeitzDeutsches Geodätisches Forschungsinstitut, Technische Universität München, München, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0718-6069

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Despite its strong influence on relative sea-level (RSL) rise, there is still low confidence in estimates of vertical land motion (VLM) and its contribution to RSL change. To address this problem, we synergize diverse VLM data, which now cover almost 65% of the coastal population, and are key to resolve small scale subsidence, including East, South, and Southeast Asian cities and populated deltaic regions, largely not covered by earlier geodetic measurements. We find that the average modern (1995-2020) global RSL rise experienced by coastal populations (6 mm/year) is about twice the climate-driven absolute sea-level rise. This reflects a strong tendency for higher rates of subsidence in densely populated areas, with 71% of the global coastal population living in subsiding regions. Paired with community efforts to extend consistent observations, these data are essential to ensure reliable estimates of present and future RSL rise to support risk and adaptation assessment.

Identifiers

PMID42143073
PMCPMC13179951

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.