Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42142116›Full record

SynthesisJournal of neurology2026

Diagnostic and prognostic value of blood neurofilament light chain in ischemic stroke: an individual patient data meta-analysis.

Lorenzo Barba, Michele Romoli, Pascal Benkert, Lisa Hofer, Luis F Maia, Alexandre Dias, Rui Magalhães, Catarina Guedes Vaz, Jan Emmerich, Kristian Barlinn and 37 more

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Journal of neurology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

47 authors.

Lorenzo BarbaDepartment of Neurology, Martin-Luther-University of Halle-Wittenberg, Ernst-Grube-Strasse 40 Saale, 06120, Halle, Germany. lorbarba00@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1328-3620
Michele RomoliNeurology and Stroke Unit Department of Neuroscience, Bufalini Hospital, Viale Giovanni Ghirotti 286, 47521, Cesena, Italy. romoli.neuro@gmail.com.
Pascal BenkertDepartments of Biomedicine and Clinical Research, Multiple Sclerosis Centre and Research Center for Clinical Neuroimmunology and Neuroscience (RC2NB), Neurology, University Hospital and University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Lisa HoferDepartments of Biomedicine and Clinical Research, Multiple Sclerosis Centre and Research Center for Clinical Neuroimmunology and Neuroscience (RC2NB), Neurology, University Hospital and University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Luis F MaiaDepartment of Neurology, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Santo Antonio, Unidade Local de Saúde de Santo António, Porto, Portugal.
Alexandre DiasInstituto de Ciências Biomédicas Abel Salazar, University of Porto, Porto, Portugal.
Rui MagalhãesInstituto de Ciências Biomédicas Abel Salazar, University of Porto, Porto, Portugal.
Catarina Guedes VazDepartment of Neurology, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Santo Antonio, Unidade Local de Saúde de Santo António, Porto, Portugal.
Jan EmmerichDepartment of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
Kristian BarlinnDepartment of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
Christoph VollmuthDepartment of Neurology, University Hospital Würzburg, Würzburg, Germany.
Hermann NeugebauerDepartment of Neurology, University Hospital Würzburg, Würzburg, Germany.
Marta TruffiIstituti Clinici Scientifici Maugeri IRCCS, Pavia, Italy.
Carlo MorassoIstituti Clinici Scientifici Maugeri IRCCS, Pavia, Italy.
Federica FerrariDepartment of Brain and Behavioral Sciences, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
Grant O'ConnellMolecular Biomarker Core, School of Nursing, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH, USA.
Steffen TiedtInstitute for Stroke and Dementia Research (ISD), LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany.
Dilara MouminInstitute for Stroke and Dementia Research (ISD), LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany.
Thomas GattringerDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Markus KneihslDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Michael KhalilDepartment of Neurology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Annie PedersenDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Institute of Biomedicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Tara M StanneDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Institute of Biomedicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Sofia FurutjällDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Institute of Biomedicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Christina JernDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Institute of Biomedicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Helle H NielsenDepartment of Neurology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark.
Kate L LambertsenDepartment of Neurology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark.
Mi-Yeon EunDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, South Korea.
June Woo AhnDepartment of Neurology, School of Medicine, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, South Korea.
Poosanu ThanapornsangsuthDivision of Neurology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Wanakorn RattanawongDepartment of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, King Mongkut's Institute of Technology Ladkrabang, Bangkok, Thailand.
Fani Pujol-CalderónDepartment of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, Institute of Neuroscience and Physiology, The Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden.
Henrik ZetterbergDepartment of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, Institute of Neuroscience and Physiology, The Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden.
Kaj BlennowDepartment of Psychiatry and Neurochemistry, Institute of Neuroscience and Physiology, The Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden.
Marianne HahnDepartment of Neurology, Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, Germany.
Timo UphausDepartment of Neurology, Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, Germany.
Klaus GröschelDepartment of Neurology, Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, Germany.
Valentina TudiscoNeurology and Stroke Unit Department of Neuroscience, Bufalini Hospital, Viale Giovanni Ghirotti 286, 47521, Cesena, Italy.
Julian KlingbeilDepartment of Neurology, Martin-Luther-University of Halle-Wittenberg, Ernst-Grube-Strasse 40 Saale, 06120, Halle, Germany.
Arthur GuthknechtDepartment of Neurology, Martin-Luther-University of Halle-Wittenberg, Ernst-Grube-Strasse 40 Saale, 06120, Halle, Germany.
Samir Abu-RumeilehDepartment of Neurology, Martin-Luther-University of Halle-Wittenberg, Ernst-Grube-Strasse 40 Saale, 06120, Halle, Germany.
Simona SaccoDepartment of Biotechnological and Applied Clinical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy.
Matteo FoschiDepartment of Biotechnological and Applied Clinical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, L'Aquila, Italy.
Lucio D'AnnaDepartment of Stroke and Neuroscience, Charing Cross Hospital, Imperial College London NHS Healthcare Trust, London, UK.
Jens KuhleDepartments of Biomedicine and Clinical Research, Multiple Sclerosis Centre and Research Center for Clinical Neuroimmunology and Neuroscience (RC2NB), Neurology, University Hospital and University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Markus OttoDepartment of Neurology, Martin-Luther-University of Halle-Wittenberg, Ernst-Grube-Strasse 40 Saale, 06120, Halle, Germany.
Valeria CasoDepartment of Neurology-Stroke Unit, ASST Valle Olona, Via Arnaldo da Brescia 1, Busto Arsizio, 21052, Varese, Italy. vcaso@hotmail.com.

Funding

Austrian Science Fund 10.55776/KLI995Danmarks Frie Forskningsfond 0134-00084BDeutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft 374031971-TRR 240Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft Project No. 413657723Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft UNION CVDEuropean Joint Program for Rare Diseases EJPRD23-010European Union's Horizon Europe research and innovation programme 101053962Fondation Leducq 21CVD04Friedrich-Baur-Stiftung 52/23Hjärt-Lungfonden 20220184Interdisziplinäres Zentrum für Klinische Forschung, Universitätsklinikum Würzburg Z-3BC/11Ludwig-Maximilian-University Munich Clinician Scientist Program (MCSP): ACS-16Ludwig-Maximilian-University Munich LMUexcellent: NFF-1507Ludwig-Maximilian-University Munich MedicalLundbeck Foundation R467-2024-481Martin-Luther-University Halle Wittenberg CS22/06Martin-Luther-University Halle Wittenberg JCS24/02Ministero della Salute EuroNanoMed III JTC 2018Novo Nordisk Fonden NNF22OC0079804Swedish Research Council #2019-02397Swedish Research Council 2021-01114Swedish Research Council #2022-01018Swedish Research Council (#2023-00356Swedish State, ALF Agreement ALFGBG-965328Swedish State Support for Clinical Research ALFGBG-71320
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe aimed to conduct an individual patient data meta-analysis on blood neurofilament light chain (NfL) in ischemic stroke (IS) to enhance its clinical applicability.

methodsWe performed a systematic literature search of studies on blood NfL measured in adult patients within 30 days after IS onset and derived age- and BMI-adjusted Z-scores based on a previously published reference population of healthy controls. We collected clinical, radiological and biochemical parameters of IS patients and tested associations of NfL at defined timepoints after IS onset (D1: < 24 h; D2: 24-48 h; D3: 48-72 h; D4-5: 72-120 h; D6-7: 120-168 h; D8-30: > 168 h) with baseline characteristics and 3-month follow-up outcomes (modified Rankin Scale, mRS; survival).

resultsWe included 4081 blood NfL values from 2872 participants (IS n = 1985, transient ischemic attack n = 88, healthy controls n = 799) of 18 published studies and 3 unpublished cohorts. In patients with IS, NfL Z-score progressively increased from D1 [median: 2.0 (IQR: 0.9-2.9)] to D6-7 [median: 3.5 (IQR: 3.0-3.8)], with discriminative ability being high for IS vs. controls (AUC: 0.79-0.97) and fair for IS vs. TIA (AUC: 0.64-0.80). Higher NfL Z-score at D1 was associated with greater risk of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (aOR = 1.33, p = 0.014) and, from D2 onwards, with larger infarct lesion volume (highest Spearman's rho: 0.795 at D6-7). NfL independently predicted a mRS > 2 (aOR = 1.31, p < 0.001) and mortality (aOR = 1.67, p < 0.001) at 3 months.

conclusionsBlood NfL level was progressively elevated after IS, could discriminate IS from healthy controls with high accuracy and had prognostic value for intra-hospital complications and 3-month clinical outcomes in IS.

Indexed as

Brain IschemiaIschemic StrokeNeurofilament ProteinsAgedBiomarkersFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisBiomarkersneurofilament protein LNeurofilament ProteinsFunctional outcomeModified Rankin scaleNeurofilament light chainStrokeSymptomatic intracranial hemorrhageTransient ischemic attack

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.