Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42137481›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in oral health2026

Risk prediction models for oral squamous cell carcinoma and oral potentially malignant disorders in Asian populations: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Emmanuel Kwateng Drokow, Cecilia Amponsem Boateng, Yongping Zhang, Xiaona He, Hao Wu, Yu Cao, Bin Wu, Lu Wang, Haoran Xu, Leizhen Xia and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in oral health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Emmanuel Kwateng DrokowSchool of Public Health, Institute of Biomedical Innovation, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.
Cecilia Amponsem BoatengAdventist Health Study, Research Affairs, Loma Linda University, Linda, CA, United States.
Yongping ZhangSchool of Public Health, Institute of Biomedical Innovation, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.
Xiaona HeSchool of Public Health, Institute of Biomedical Innovation, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.
Hao WuSchool of Public Health, Institute of Biomedical Innovation, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.
Yu CaoSchool of Public Health, Institute of Biomedical Innovation, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.
Bin WuSchool of Public Health, Institute of Biomedical Innovation, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.
Lu WangSchool of Public Health, Institute of Biomedical Innovation, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.
Haoran XuSchool of Public Health, Institute of Biomedical Innovation, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.
Leizhen XiaSchool of Public Health, Institute of Biomedical Innovation, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.
Wei GaoJiangxi Provincial Key Laboratory of Disease Prevention and Public Health, Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) and oral potentially malignant disorders (OPMDs) represent a substantial public health burden across Asia, where tobacco use, betel quid chewing, and alcohol consumption are prevalent risk factors. Numerous multivariable risk prediction models have been developed to support early detection and targeted screening; however, their accuracy and applicability in Asian populations remain unclear. This study evaluated the diagnostic performance, methodological quality, and clinical readiness of OSCC/OPMD risk prediction models developed or validated in Asian settings. Methods: Following PRISMA and PRISMA-DTA guidelines, a comprehensive search of PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Scopus, Google Scholar and grey literature was conducted for studies published from January 2000 to December 2025. Eligible studies included multivariable prediction models developed or validated among asymptomatic adults in Asian countries. Data extraction and PROBAST risk-of-bias assessments were completed independently by two reviewers. Hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) modelling was used to pool sensitivity and specificity, with heterogeneity explored using meta-regression. Publication bias was assessed using Deeks' test. All analyses were performed in RStudio. Results: Eleven studies met the inclusion criteria, and seven contributed to the meta-analysis. Pooled sensitivity was 0.84 (95% CI: 0.78-0.89), and pooled specificity was 0.80 (95% CI: 0.67-0.89), demonstrating strong case-detection performance with acceptable false-positive rates. Substantial heterogeneity was observed (sensitivity I Conclusion: Risk prediction models for OSCC and OPMDs in Asian populations demonstrate favourable diagnostic performance; however, substantial heterogeneity and methodological limitations warrant cautious interpretation before clinical implementation. Future research should prioritise large-scale external validations, improved calibration reporting, and harmonised risk thresholds to enhance regional applicability for risk-based oral cancer screening. Systematic Review Registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/search.

Indexed as

mouth neoplasmsoral potentially malignant disorders (OPMDs)oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC)predictive modelsrisk assessmentsensitivity

Identifiers

PMID42137481
PMCPMC13168186

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.