Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42128453›Full record

ArticleBMJ mental health2026

Emulated trial of artificial intelligence use and subsequent depressive outcomes in a survey of US adults.

Roy H Perlis, Faith M Gunning, Ata Uslu, Mauricio Santillana, Matthew A Baum, James N Druckman, Katherine Ognyanova, David Lazer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ mental health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Roy H PerlisDepartment of Psychiatry, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA RPERLIS@mgh.harvard.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5862-6757
Faith M GunningDepartment of Psychiatry, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, New York, USA.
Ata UsluNetwork Science Institute, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Mauricio SantillanaNetwork Science Institute, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4206-418X
Matthew A BaumJohn F. Kennedy School of Government and Department of Government, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
James N DruckmanDepartment of Political Science, University of Rochester, Rochester, New York, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1249-6790
Katherine OgnyanovaDepartment of Communication, Rutgers University New Brunswick, New Brunswick, New Jersey, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3038-7077
David LazerNetwork Science Institute, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7991-9110

Funding

JASPer-MH: Jointly Assessed Scalable Phenotypes for Mental HealthU01MH136059 · NIMH · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI ALYSA E DOYLE, ROY H. Perlis · 2024 to 2026
$6.4M
Depression, Isolation, and Social Connectivity Online (DISCO)RF1MH132335 · NIMH · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI PERLIS, ROY H. · 2022 to 2022
$1.9M
NIH National Institute of Mental Health 1U01-MH136059-01NIMH NIH HHS RF1 MH132335NIMH NIH HHS RF1-MH132335NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH136059
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGenerative artificial intelligence (AI) use has been suggested to have adverse mental health consequences but a causal relationship has not been examined.

objectiveTo simulate a randomised controlled trial of AI use in a work, school or personal context by applying target trial emulation to multiple waves of data from a nationally representative survey.

methodsWe conducted a target trial emulation using non-probability survey data from three waves of a nationally representative survey conducted between 18 June 2024 and 8 January 2025. Participants aged ≥18 years reported generative AI use frequency at baseline. High-frequency use was defined as multiple times per week or more. The primary outcome was depressive symptom severity measured using the Patient Health Questionnaire 9-item (PHQ-9) at follow-up. Generalised causal forests assessed heterogeneity of treatment effects.

findingsAmong 19 099 participants assessed at baseline, 2862 (15.0%) reported AI use at least multiple times per week. A subset of 3109 (16.3%) returned for follow-up. In the primary weighted analysis, high-frequency use was not significantly associated with change in PHQ-9 score at follow-up (mean difference -0.18, 95% CI -0.94 to 0.59; p=0.65). Multiple sensitivity analyses using alternate outcome definitions also did not identify significant causal effects. Generalised causal forests yielded no significant evidence of heterogeneity of effect (p=0.81).

conclusionsIn an emulated randomised trial among US adults, generative AI use was not associated with subsequent depressive symptoms. This result does not support the premise that AI use causes greater depressive symptoms, although adverse outcomes among vulnerable individuals cannot be excluded. CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: AI use is unlikely to cause increased depressive symptoms among most US adults. Continued monitoring should clarify potential risks among vulnerable populations.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceDepressionAdultFemaleGenerative Artificial IntelligenceHumansMaleMiddle AgedSurveys and QuestionnairesUnited StatesYoung AdultMental HealthPatient Health QuestionnairePsychiatry

Identifiers

PMID42128453
PMCPMC13182331

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.