ArticleConservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology2026
Integrating fossil data in ecological niche models to improve predictions of future habitat of Caribbean corals.
Article in Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Integrating fossil data in ecological niche models to improve predictions of future habitat of Caribbean corals.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026Article
- Suitable Habitats of Two Tea Pests for Management Guidance in China Under Climate Change.Insects · 2026Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Ecological niche models (ENMs) are used to assess the abiotic preferences of species by linking their occurrences to the environmental conditions in which they live. We developed a fossil-informed ENM framework that integrates mid-Holocene and modern occurrences to test niche stability and reconstruct abiotic niche characteristics for four critical reef-building Caribbean coral species (elkhorn coral [Acropora palmata], staghorn coral [Acropora cervicornis], boulder brain coral [Colpophyllia natans], and mustard hill coral [Porites astreoides]). Given evidence of niche stability, we used fossil-improved niche estimates to predict area and location of habitat for future climate scenarios in 2050 and 2100. We built species distribution models with environmental predictors and compared models trained with modern-only versus combined fossil and modern occurrences to evaluate differences in niche breadth, model performance, and projected habitat distributions under future climate scenarios. Including mid-Holocene fossil data in ENMs broadened niche estimates, resulting in a larger area of predicted habitat than models based solely on modern data (up to 114,559 km
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