Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42120397›Full record

ArticleNature communications2026

Social implications of the 30×30 global conservation target.

Javier Fajardo, Heather C Bingham, Dan Brockington, Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer, James A Fitzsimons, Forrest Fleischman, Alain Frechette, Rachael D Garrett, Carolina Hazin, Tobias Kuemmerle and 15 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

25 authors.

Javier FajardoDepartment of Geography and Conservation Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. fajardonjavier@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-0990-9718
Heather C BinghamUN Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0177-7666
Dan BrockingtonInstitut de Ciència i Tecnologia Ambientals de la Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (ICTA-UAB), Cerdanyola del Vallès, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-5692-0154
Rebecca Chaplin-KramerWWF, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1539-5231
James A FitzsimonsThe Nature Conservancy, Carlton, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-4277-8040
Forrest FleischmanDepartment of Forest Resources, University of Minnesota, St Paul, MN, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6060-4031
Alain FrechetteRights and Resources Initiative, Washington, DC, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5521-0668
Rachael D GarrettDepartment of Geography and Conservation Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6171-263X
Carolina HazinThe Nature Conservancy, London, UK.ORCID 0009-0002-3059-384X
Tobias KuemmerleGeography Department, Humboldt-University Berlin, Berlin, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-9775-142X
Janeth LessmannUN Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1502-625X
Milagre O F NuvungaMicaia Foundation, Chimoio, Mozambique.
Brian O'DonnellCampaign for Nature, Durango, CO, USA.
Fred OnyaiPrivate Consultant, Kampala, Uganda.
Ruth PintoInternational Institute for Environment and Development, London, UK.
Marion PfeiferSNES, Newcastle University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6775-3141
Rose PritchardGlobal Development Institute, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6174-3460
Casey M RyanUniversity of Edinburgh, School of Geosciences, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1802-0128
Priya ShyamsundarThe Nature Conservancy, Arlington, VA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8368-8581
Josefa Cariño TauliGlobal Youth Biodiversity Network, Panama City, WY, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0257-3908
David Mwesigye TumusiimeDepartment of Environmental Management, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.ORCID 0000-0003-0171-5027
Jasmin UptonUN Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6848-1301
Gary R WatmoughUniversity of Edinburgh, School of Geosciences, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0657-2208
Julie G ZaehringerWyss Academy for Nature, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-3253-5128
Chris SandbrookDepartment of Geography and Conservation Research Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. cgs21@cam.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-9938-4934

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Target 3 of the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework aims to increase global protected and conserved area coverage to at least 30% by 2030. The impact on people, whether positive or negative, will depend on the social context of additional areas and how they are governed and managed. Here, we show that Target 3 could affect large and socially diverse populations under different implementation scenarios. Nearly half the human population lives within 10 km of areas included in a scenario maximising biodiversity representation. Four percent live near areas included in an Indigenous and traditional territories-based scenario, including many in areas with low Human Development Index scores (74%) and high participation in wild harvesting (91%). A scenario prioritising nature's contributions to people is intermediate on all measures. Our results demonstrate that Target 3 is a highly ambitious social as well as ecological target, requiring an equally ambitious commitment to development funding and support for local residents.

Indexed as

BiodiversityConservation of Natural ResourcesHumans

Identifiers

PMID42120397
PMCPMC13168258

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.