Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42116173›Full record

ArticleParasites & vectors2026

A process-based model simulating the life-cycle of Culex pipiens s.s./Cx. torrentium (Diptera: Culicidae) in Germany.

Leif Rauhöft, Pride Duve, Sara M Martins-Afonso, Jöst Hanna, Tatiana Şuleşco, Felix Gregor Sauer, Renke Lühken

Abstract read
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Article in Parasites & vectors, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Leif Rauhöft *Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Bernhard-Nocht-Straße 74, 20359, Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany. leif.rauhoeft@bnitm.de.
Pride Duve *Bernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Bernhard-Nocht-Straße 74, 20359, Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany.
Sara M Martins-AfonsoBernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Bernhard-Nocht-Straße 74, 20359, Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany.
Jöst HannaBernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Bernhard-Nocht-Straße 74, 20359, Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany.
Tatiana ŞuleşcoBernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Bernhard-Nocht-Straße 74, 20359, Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany.
Felix Gregor SauerBernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Bernhard-Nocht-Straße 74, 20359, Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany.
Renke LühkenBernhard Nocht Institute for Tropical Medicine, Bernhard-Nocht-Straße 74, 20359, Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany.

Funding

Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung 01Kl2022Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft JO 1276/5-1Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Con- servation, Nuclear Safety and Consumer Protection 3721484020
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMosquitoes are well known for their ability to transmit pathogens, including various arthropod-borne viruses (arboviruses) of veterinary and medical interest. In Europe, the increasing public health relevance of mosquito-borne pathogens highlights the need to understand how environmental drivers shape mosquito population dynamics relevant to transmission risk. Culex pipiens sensu stricto (s.s.) and Culex torrentium (collectively referred to here as Cx. pipiens s.s./Cx. torrentium) are the primary vectors of Usutu virus and West Nile virus in Europe and are commonly found in and around human settlements. The prediction of their spatial-temporal abundance supports early assessment of arbovirus transmission risk and the planning of effective intervention methods, such as vector control.

methodsA process-based model was developed to simulate the spatial-temporal occurrence of Cx. pipiens s.s./Cx. torrentium in Germany, with a particular focus on depicting realistic overwintering behaviour, including, diapause induced through photoperiod and temperature in the larval stage. The model output is driven by local temperature and rainfall data provided by the European re-analysis and observations for monitoring data set and evaluated with field data from 106 sampling sites in Germany.

resultsA significant association between relative simulated and observed mosquito abundance was found for 75% of the sampling sites, using site-specific beta regression models. An overall beta mixed-effects model across all sites was also significant (estimate = 2.17, standard error = 0.062, Z-value = 35.03, p-value < 0.0001, marginal R

conclusionsThis model offers a robust framework for the depiction of the mosquito population dynamics of Cx. pipiens s.s./Cx. torrentium under current and future climate scenarios, thereby supporting vector surveillance and control strategies across Europe.

Indexed as

CulexLife Cycle StagesMosquito VectorsAnimalsFemaleGermanyLarvaModels, BiologicalMosquito-Borne DiseasesPopulation DynamicsSeasonsTemperature

Identifiers

PMID42116173
PMCPMC13162510

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.