Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42116057›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2026

Associations of general and abdominal adiposity with incident elevated blood pressure among Tianjin adolescents: a school-based longitudinal study.

Yuqian Feng, Panying Sun, Xianwei Zhang, Dan Zhao, Yunqi Chu, Zhonghui Liu, Gerson Ferrari, Leandro F M Rezende, Yuqiu Ge, Heng Zhang and 3 more

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Article in BMC public health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Yuqian Feng *Public Health Research Center, Department of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Wuxi School of Medicine, Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.
Panying Sun *Public Health Research Center, Department of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Wuxi School of Medicine, Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.
Xianwei Zhang *Institute of Environmental and Public Health, Tianjin Center of Disease Control and Prevention, Tianjin, China.
Dan ZhaoPublic Health Research Center, Department of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Wuxi School of Medicine, Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.
Yunqi ChuPublic Health Research Center, Department of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Wuxi School of Medicine, Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.
Zhonghui LiuInstitute of Environmental and Public Health, Tianjin Center of Disease Control and Prevention, Tianjin, China.
Gerson FerrariEscuela de Ciencias de la Actividad Física, el Deporte y la Salud, Universidad de Santiago de Chile (USACH), Santiago, Región Metropolitana de Santiago, Chile.
Leandro F M RezendeChronic Disease Epidemiology Research Center, Department of Preventive Medicine, Universidade Federal de São Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Yuqiu GePublic Health Research Center, Department of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Wuxi School of Medicine, Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.
Heng ZhangDepartment of Child Health Care, Wuxi Maternity and Child Health Care Hospital, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.
Yu WuPublic Health Research Center, Department of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Wuxi School of Medicine, Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China.
Fang WangDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou, Jiangsu, China. fwang@xzhmu.edu.cn.
Yafeng WangPublic Health Research Center, Department of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Wuxi School of Medicine, Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China. fljfe71518@126.com.

Funding

Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities JUSRP123076National Natural Science Foundation of China 72204211Tianjin Health Research Project TJWJ2024QN089Tianjin Key Medical Discipline Construction Project YXZDXK-3-034C
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBecause elevated blood pressure during adolescence often persists into adulthood and increases the risk of cardiovascular diseases, early identification of modifiable risk factors for elevated blood pressure is critical for timely prevention. This study compared the predictive performance of body mass index (BMI) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) in identifying incident elevated blood pressure among Tianjin adolescents.

methodThis longitudinal analysis included 4,694 students aged 11-18 years from the 2023-2024 National Student Common Diseases and Risk Factors Surveillance in Tianjin, China. Modified Poisson regression with false discovery rate (FDR) correction and restricted cubic splines (RCS) were used to assess associations of BMI and WHtR with incident elevated blood pressure, stratified by sex. Predictive performance was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

resultsDuring the one-year interval, 13.2% of girls and 13.5% of boys developed elevated blood pressure. Adjusting for sociodemographic and lifestyle factors, both general and abdominal obesity were significantly associated with incident elevated blood pressure in girls (general obesity: RR 2.25 [95% CI: 1.75-2.88]; abdominal obesity: 1.92 [1.57-2.36]) and boys (general obesity: 2.07 [1.59-2.71]; abdominal obesity: 1.83 [1.48-2.25]). RCS revealed linear associations except for WHtR in girls. AUCs for BMI (girls: 0.640; boys: 0.669) and the combination with WHtR (girls: 0.641; boys: 0.670) were comparable in both sexes; both were similar to WHtR in girls (0.633) but slightly higher than WHtR alone in boys (0.641; DeLong's test p < 0.05). Adding BMI to the basic model improved discrimination more than adding WHtR (IDI: girls 0.0272 vs. 0.0222; boys 0.0242 vs. 0.0179), while including both indices provided no additional improvement. All expanded models showed good calibration and higher net benefits than the basic model, with no additional clinical advantage observed for the combined model.

conclusionBoth BMI and WHtR were associated with incident elevated blood pressure and showed comparable discriminative ability. However, BMI provided a greater incremental improvement in risk prediction than WHtR across sexes, with no additional incremental value from combining both indices.

Indexed as

AdiposityHypertensionObesity, AbdominalAdolescentBody Mass IndexChildChinaFemaleHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMaleRisk FactorsWaist-Height RatioAdolescentsBody mass indexElevated blood pressureWaist-to-height ratio

Identifiers

PMID42116057
PMCPMC13501553

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.