Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42115570›Full record

ArticleJournal of general internal medicine2026

Reclassifying Primary Care: A Decision Tree Approach to Improving Workforce Estimates and Research Using Claims Data.

Zachary J Morgan, Andrew W Bazemore, Lars E Peterson, Mingliang Dai

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of general internal medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Zachary J MorganAmerican Board of Family Medicine, Lexington, Lexington, KY, USA. zmorgan@theabfm.org.ORCID 0000-0002-4902-1684
Andrew W BazemoreAmerican Board of Family Medicine, Lexington, Lexington, KY, USA.
Lars E PetersonAmerican Board of Family Medicine, Lexington, Lexington, KY, USA.
Mingliang DaiAmerican Board of Family Medicine, Lexington, Lexington, KY, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMedical claims are widely used in workforce estimation and health services research but identifying primary care (PC) clinicians is challenging. Existing methods relying on specialty or activity-based metrics are imprecise and hard to duplicate.

objectiveWe seek to develop a simple, accurate decision tree classifier using claims data, trained on survey responses from family physicians (FPs). And to use this classifier to estimate the PC workforce in Virginia.

designWe linked 2016-2023 Virginia All-Payer Claims Database (APCD) data with responses from American Board of Family Medicine surveys to infer whether FPs provided PC. Using claims-derived features, we trained a decision tree to classify clinicians providing PC. We developed an enhanced version of the tree, adding exclusion criteria, and applied both classifiers to the entire APCD, including other PC clinician types. SUBJECTS: Virginia clinicians. MAIN MEASURES: Estimated classifier accuracy by clinician type and workforce estimates with bootstrapping used to estimate 95% confidence intervals. KEY

resultsThe base decision tree correctly classified 93% of the training sample using three clinician-level features: percent of claims with diagnosis category of Z00, percent with place of service 19-23 or 31-32, and percent of patients having multiple visits with the clinician. We estimate the enhanced tree achieved at least 89% accuracy for every clinician type. We found that from 2016 to 2023, the percentage of Virginia PC clinicians who were nurse practitioners (NPs) grew from 17 to 32%, with NPs passing FPs as the most common PC clinician type.

conclusionsThis decision tree approach overcomes shortcomings of existing methods and offers a straightforward, scalable, interpretable tool for classifying PC clinicians, with applications in workforce planning and health services research.

Indexed as

Decision TreesHealth WorkforcePhysicians, FamilyPhysicians, Primary CarePrimary Health CareDatabases, FactualHealth Services ResearchHumansVirginiaalgorithmsdecision treeshealth workforcephysicians, primary careprimary health care

Identifiers

PMID42115570
PMCPMC13421718

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.