Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42114035›Full record

Trial reportJCO precision oncology2026

Detection of Homologous Recombination Repair Gene Mutations by Tumor Tissue and Circulating Tumor DNA Testing in Prostate Cancer in the Phase III PROpel Trial.

Andrew J Armstrong, Fred Saad, Mototsugu Oya, Neal Shore, Giuseppe Procopio, Cagatay Arslan, Niven Mehra, Emma Brown, Jae Young Joung, Mikio Sugimoto and 12 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in JCO precision oncology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03732820 (A Randomised, Double-blind, Placebo-controlled, Multicentre Phase III Study of Olaparib Plus Abiraterone Relative to Placebo Plus Abiraterone as First-line Therapy in Men With Metastatic Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer), which is not on this map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03732820 phase3active not recruitingnot on this map

A Randomised, Double-blind, Placebo-controlled, Multicentre Phase III Study of Olaparib Plus Abiraterone Relative to Placebo Plus Abiraterone as First-line Therapy in Men With Metastatic Castration-resistant Prostate Cancer (PROpel Study)

TypeinterventionalSponsorAstraZenecaRan2018 to 2027Enrolled895ConditionsMetastatic Castration-resistant Prostate CancerArmsolaparib, abiraterone acetate
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Andrew J ArmstrongDuke Cancer Institute Center for Prostate and Urologic Cancer, Duke University, Durham, NC.ORCID 0000-0001-7012-1754
Fred SaadCentre Hospitalier de l'Université de Montréal/CRCHUM, Université de Montreal, Montreal, QC, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-2986-5617
Mototsugu OyaKeio University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan.
Neal ShoreCarolina Urologic Research Center, Myrtle Beach, SC.ORCID 0000-0001-5767-0548
Giuseppe ProcopioFondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale Tumori Milano, Milan, Italy.
Cagatay ArslanIzmir Economy University Medical Park Hospital, Karsiyaka, Turkey.ORCID 0000-0002-3783-7432
Niven MehraRadboud Universitair Medisch Centrum, Nijmegen, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-4794-1831
Emma BrownUniversity Hospital Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Jae Young JoungNational Cancer Center, Goyang-si, South Korea.
Mikio SugimotoKagawa University Hospital, Kagawa, Japan.ORCID 0000-0001-9266-782X
Mustafa ÖzgüroğluDepartment of Internal Medicine, Division of Medical Oncology, Cerrahpaşa School of Medicine, Istanbul University-Cerrahpaşa, Istanbul, Turkey.ORCID 0000-0002-8417-8628
Craig GedyeCalvary Mater Newcastle, Waratah, NSW, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-1629-4352
Oliver SartorTulane Medical School, New Orleans, LA.ORCID 0000-0002-8777-7343
Christian PoehleinMerck & Co, Inc, Rahway, NJ.ORCID 0000-0002-3348-3059
Ping QiuMerck & Co, Inc, Rahway, NJ.ORCID 0000-0003-4090-5704
Yu-Zhen LiuPrecision Medicine, Oncology R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK.
Xiaodun LiPrecision Medicine, Oncology R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK.
Elizabeth A HarringtonTranslational Medicine, Oncology R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK.
David McGuinnessGlobal Medicines Development, Oncology R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK.
Jinyu KangGlobal Medicines Development, Oncology R&D, AstraZeneca, Gaithersburg, MD.
Alan BarnicleTranslational Medicine, Oncology R&D, AstraZeneca, Cambridge, UK.
Noel ClarkeThe Christie and Salford Royal NHS Foundation Trusts, Manchester, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeIn the PROpel study (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03732820), olaparib plus abiraterone demonstrated statistically significant radiographic progression-free survival benefit versus placebo plus abiraterone in a first-line metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) population unselected by homologous recombination repair gene mutation (HRRm) status. From PROpel, we report exploratory biomarker analyses assessing HRRm and

methodsPatients received (1:1) either olaparib (300 mg twice a day) or placebo in combination with abiraterone (1,000 mg once daily) plus prednisone/prednisolone (5 mg twice a day). Tumor tissue and ctDNA samples were analyzed using FoundationOne CDx and FoundationOne Liquid CDx tests, respectively. Biomarker results are presented by individual tests and as an aggregate analysis.

resultsHRRm status was obtained for 778 of 796 (98%) patients randomly assigned. Aggregating tumor tissue and ctDNA results, 226 patients were identified as having HRRm (including 85 BRCAm). In matched tumor tissue and ctDNA samples (n = 491), and using the tumor tissue result as the reference, high concordance was observed for HRRm (overall percent agreement, 85.1%; negative predictive value, 93.7%) and BRCAm status (overall percent agreement, 93.9%; negative predictive value, 97.3%), with low ctDNA fraction being a limiting factor in rare cases where discordance was observed. Based on the observed agreement, there was a potential incidence of 1% unidentified BRCAm in aggregated non-BRCAm patients (n = 693).

conclusionAggregating tumor tissue and ctDNA analyses maximized the number of patients (98%) with known biomarker status in PROpel while limiting the number of potential false negatives. This represents the most comprehensive means for identifying biomarker-positive and biomarker-negative subgroups and demonstrates the complementary utility of ctDNA testing in mCRPC, particularly when tissue testing is unable to provide a clinically useful result.

Indexed as

Circulating Tumor DNAMutationProstatic Neoplasms, Castration-ResistantRecombinational DNA RepairAgedBiomarkers, TumorHumansMaleBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNA

Identifiers

PMID42114035
PMCPMC13182812

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.