Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42099505›Full record

ArticleArXiv2026

Predictability is dynamically constructed by topological collective modes in deterministic systems.

Lars Koopmans, Elinor M Kay, Hyun Youk

Abstract readPreprint
In one paragraph

Article in ArXiv, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Lars KoopmansDepartment of Physics, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana IL, USA.
Elinor M KayDepartment of Physics, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana IL, USA.
Hyun YoukDepartment of Physics, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana IL, USA.

Funding

Dynamics in Eukaryotic Dormancy: Gene Expression and AgingR35GM147508 · NIGMS · UNIV OF MASSACHUSETTS MED SCH WORCESTER · PI Hyun Youk · 2022 to 2026
$2.1M
NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM147508
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Deterministic many-body systems governed by simple interactions can self-organize into macroscopic patterns, and the determinants of long-time behavior are assumed to be encoded in the initial configuration. Here we show that predictability can instead be constructed dynamically rather than being accessible in the initial configuration. We study a generalized cellular automaton of secrete-and-sense cells that self-organizes from disorder into static configurations, rectilinear waves, or spiral waves. Although dynamics are deterministic, the final outcome cannot be reliably inferred from the initial state alone. Treating cell states as a discrete phase field, we uncover emergent topological modes-charged vortices connected by strings that form non-contractible loops. Tracking their dynamics reveals that predictive signatures of macroscopic fate appear only late in the trajectory: vortex annihilation becomes readable through loop loss, whereas vortex persistence remains unreadable until spiral waves form abruptly. These results show how predictability can be dynamically constructed in deterministic nonequilibrium systems.

Identifiers

PMID42099505
PMCPMC13148111

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.