Prognosis of neonates receiving invasive mechanical ventilation in low-resource settings: a systematic review and prognostic meta-analysis.

Provision of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) in the neonatal intensive care has seen a steady rise in low-esource settings (LRS). However, outcomes among those exposed to IMV remain under-reported, with the current evidence base being restricted to single-centre observational studies, thus limiting comparative analyses and effective healthcare planning. This study aims to estimate the pooled proportion of mortality and morbidity among neonates exposed to IMV in low-resource settings. Medline, Embase, and CENTRAL were searched until 22 August 2025. Randomised and non-randomised studies were included. Two reviewers, blinded to each other, extracted data independently. Proportion-based meta-analyses using random-effects model were performed. Risk of bias was assessed using ROBINS-E, and evidence-certainty was evaluated using the GRADE approach. One hundred of 117 studies were included, with most conducted in South Asia. In-hospital mortality was reported in 68 studies (7193 neonates), with a pooled estimate of 45% (39%-50%), evidence-certainty being very low. Among the secondary outcomes, the pooled rates were as follows: bronchopulmonary dysplasia, 10% (5%-18%); intraventricular haemorrhage (any grade), 10% (5%-19%); necrotising enterocolitis (any stage), 14% (6%-31%); retinopathy of prematurity (any stage), 33% (22%-46%); ventilator-associated pneumonia, 21% (14%-29%); sepsis, 32% (25%-40%) and pulmonary haemorrhage, 9% (6%-14%). Evidence-certainty for all the secondary outcomes was also very low. Subgroup analysis comparing two distinct time epochs revealed a significant difference in mortality, 43% (36%-50%) (I