Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42094718›Full record

ArticleDrug and alcohol dependence reports2026

Causal effect estimates of online e-cigarette marketing exposure on future e-cigarette harm perception and use.

Paul T Harrell, Nicholas T Williams, Kara E Rudolph, Rachel Ayala Guzman, Ateeqa Ijaz, Nicole Rychagov, Aaron Null, Silvia S Martins

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drug and alcohol dependence reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Paul T HarrellDivision of Community Health & Research, Department of Pediatrics, Macon & Joan Brock Virginia Health Sciences at Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, USA.
Nicholas T WilliamsDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
Kara E RudolphDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
Rachel Ayala GuzmanDivision of Community Health & Research, Department of Pediatrics, Macon & Joan Brock Virginia Health Sciences at Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, USA.
Ateeqa IjazDivision of Community Health & Research, Department of Pediatrics, Macon & Joan Brock Virginia Health Sciences at Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, USA.
Nicole RychagovDivision of Community Health & Research, Department of Pediatrics, Macon & Joan Brock Virginia Health Sciences at Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, USA.
Aaron NullDivision of Community Health & Research, Department of Pediatrics, Macon & Joan Brock Virginia Health Sciences at Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, USA.
Silvia S MartinsDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.

Funding

Does Tobacco Social Media Marketing Alter Adolescent Risk Perceptions and Use? Longitudinal Data-Adaptive Estimators and Causal Inference to Enhance UnderstandingR21CA287457 · NCI · OLD DOMINION UNIVERSITY · PI HARRELL, PAUL TRUMAN · 2023 to 2024
$434k
NCI NIH HHS R21 CA287457
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Globally, over 10 million youth use e-cigarettes; United States use, in particular, dramatically rose in the late 2010's, exceeding year-over-year increases from any other substance in over four decades. This rise has been partially attributed to youth online e-cigarette marketing exposure, but has not been appropriately studied. Methods: We examined youth data from the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH) spanning the dramatic increase period (Waves 4, 4.5, and 5; 2016-2019). We estimated average risk differences (RD) for Wave 5 e-cigarette harmfulness perception and use comparing all youth versus no youth reporting past-month online e-cigarette marketing exposure in Waves 4 and 4.5. We used a doubly robust, nonparametric targeted minimum loss-based estimator (TMLE) to estimate RD, incorporating PATH survey weights. Initial analyses adjusted for demographics, mental health issues, and other forms of e-cigarette marketing. Subsequent analyses adjusted for frequency of social media use, other substance use, and tobacco (non-e-cigarette) use. Results: Initial analyses estimated that online marketing was associated with a 9% decrease in e-cigarette harmfulness perception (RD=-0.09, 95% C=-0.12, -0.05), or a Risk Ratio (RR) of 0.85 (95% CI=0.80, 0.91), as well as a 4% increase in current e-cigarette use (RD=0.04, 95% CI=0.02, 0.06; RR=1.36, 95% CI=1.15, 1.62). However, after adjusting for additional potential time-varying confounding variables, point estimates were close to null with 95% confidence intervals spanning the null. Discussion: Frequency of social media use, other substance use, and/or tobacco use may be important confounding variables related to marketing and e-cigarette use that require further investigation.

Indexed as

Causal InferenceE-cigarettesMarketingRisk DifferenceVapingYouth

Identifiers

PMID42094718
PMCPMC13141796

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.