Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42092138›Full record

ArticleNature2026

Predicting temporal stability and resilience from resistance and recovery.

Forest Isbell, Akira S Mori, Michel Loreau, Peter B Reich, David Tilman, Maggie I Anderson, Caroline Brophy, Karen Castillioni, Qingqing Chen, Amber C Churchill and 29 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

39 authors.

Forest IsbellDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA. isbell@umn.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9689-769X
Akira S MoriResearch Center for Advanced Science and Technology, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8422-1198
Michel LoreauTheoretical and Experimental Ecology Station, CNRS, Moulis, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0122-495X
Peter B ReichDepartment of Forest Resources, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4424-662X
David TilmanDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6395-7676
Maggie I AndersonDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.
Caroline BrophySchool of Computer Science and Statistics, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2888-4082
Karen CastillioniDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.
Qingqing ChenDepartment of Physiological Diversity, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1957-3848
Amber C ChurchillDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9136-8131
Adam T ClarkDepartment of Biology, University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Dylan CravenCentro GEMA Genómica, Ecología y Medio Ambiente, Facultad de Ciencias, Huechuraba, Chile.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3940-833X
Nico EisenhauerExperimental Interaction Ecology, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0371-6720
Hanan C FarahDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.
Lau A GherardiDepartment of Environmental Studies, Policy, and Management, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5743-1096
Yann HautierDepartment of Biology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4347-7741
Miao HeDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1851-9797
Jin-Sheng HeDepartment of Ecology, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5081-3569
Andy HectorDepartment of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1309-7716
Sydney HedbergDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.
Sarah E HobbieDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5159-031X
Pubin HongDepartment of Ecology, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8728-5464
Guopeng LiangDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5514-785X
Maowei LiangCedar Creek Ecosystem Science Reserve, University of Minnesota, East Bethel, MN, USA.
Shan LuoDepartment of Evolution, Ecology, and Behaviour, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Neha MohanbabuDepartment of Forest Resources, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6557-131X
Shahid NaeemEcology, Evolution, and Environmental Biology, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
Pascal A NiklausDepartment of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2360-1357
Xiaobin PanDepartment of Biology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0007-0578-7753
Cristy Portales-ReyesDepartment of Biology, St. Louis University, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Bernhard SchmidDepartment of Geography, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8430-3214
Harry E R ShepherdDepartment of Geography, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7077-3581
Steph VargheseDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2780-8611
Michiel P VeldhuisInstitute of Environmental Sciences, Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8186-5473
Shaopeng WangDepartment of Ecology, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9430-8879
Carmen R E WatkinsDepartment of Biology, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3870-3089
Qianna XuDepartment of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.
Liting ZhengInstitute for Global Change Biology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Chad R ZirbelDepartment of Integrative Biology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Stability can be desirable for many natural and social systems. Temporal stability, the invariability of a system over time, can be enhanced by resisting displacement during perturbations, accelerating recovery after them, or both

Indexed as

EcosystemModels, BiologicalBiodiversityDrought ResistanceDroughtsPlantsTime Factors

Identifiers

PMID42092138
PMCPMC13345967

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.