ArticleScientific reports2026
Identifying the key environmental drivers of chlorophyll-a in the Danjiangkou reservoir using interpretable machine learning.
Article in Scientific reports, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
Algal blooms have become a critical environmental issue worldwide, with chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) serving as a key biological indicator for assessing bloom intensity and providing essential insights into bloom dynamics. Based on four field investigations conducted in the Danjiangkou Reservoir between 2023 and 2024, this study utilized data on Chl-a, nutrients (total nitrogen, total phosphorus, ammonia nitrogen, etc.), water temperature, and light intensity to develop a Chl-a concentration prediction model using the XGBoost algorithm. The Shapley Additive Explanations method was further employed to quantitatively evaluate the relative contributions of environmental variables to Chl-a in the Danjiangkou Reservoir area and the Hanjiang Reservoir area. The results showed that the XGBoost model achieved high accuracy in modeling Chl-a concentrations (R
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