Observational studyDiabetes care2026
Accounting for Age-Related Increases in HbA1c More Accurately Quantifies Risk of Type 1 Diabetes Progression in Islet Autoantibody-Positive Adults.
Observational study in Diabetes care, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
objectiveHbA1c thresholds used to define dysglycemia in autoantibody-positive individuals at risk for type 1 diabetes do not account for age-related increases in HbA1c and may overestimate progression risk in adults. We evaluated whether age-adjusted HbA1c or a higher HbA1c threshold improves risk stratification across age-groups. RESEARCH DESIGN AND
methodsWe analyzed 5,024 autoantibody-positive relatives (3,720 children and 1,304 adults) participating in the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention study. Age-related HbA1c effects were modeled using 6,273 adults from the population-based Exeter 10000 cohort. Progression risk was compared using the standard dysglycemia threshold (HbA1c ≥5.7% [39 mmol/mol]), age-adjusted HbA1c, and an alternative threshold of HbA1c ≥6.0% (42 mmol/mol).
resultsUsing HbA1c ≥5.7% (39 mmol/mol), children had higher 1-year progression risk than adults among single autoantibody-positive participants (38% [95% CI 28, 47] vs. 13% [7.2, 19]) and multiple autoantibody-positive participants (55% [49, 60] vs. 38% [27, 47]) (both P < 0.001). Age adjustment reduced these differences; progression risk was similar among single autoantibody-positive participants (38% [28, 47] vs. 27% [13, 39]; P = 0.32), with attenuated differences among multiple autoantibody-positive participants. An HbA1c threshold ≥6.0% (42 mmol/mol) yielded comparable progression risk between adults and children across autoantibody subgroups. In post hoc analyses, adults aged <30 years had progression risk similar to children (P = 0.1).
conclusionsAge-related variation in HbA1c influences dysglycemia classification in adults at risk for type 1 diabetes. Age-adjusted HbA1c or a higher HbA1c threshold (≥6.0% [42 mmol/mol]) in adults aged ≥30 years identifies individuals with progression risk comparable to children and may improve age-specific risk stratification in prevention settings.
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