Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42089801›Full record

ArticleCancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology2026

Decreases in Human Papillomavirus Vaccine Types 16 and 18 in Cervical Precancers: HPV-IMPACT, 2008 to 2019.

Ruth Stefanos, Julia W Gargano, Linda M Niccolai, Jessica L Castilho, Ina U Park, Erica A Bostick, Sara Ehlers, Sheelah Blankenship, Monica M Brackney, Kameny Chan and 8 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Ruth StefanosDivision of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, CDC, Atlanta, Georgia.ORCID 0000-0001-9023-2929
Julia W GarganoDivision of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, CDC, Atlanta, Georgia.ORCID 0000-0001-9976-178X
Linda M NiccolaiConnecticut Emerging Infections Program, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut.ORCID 0000-0003-2969-3157
Jessica L CastilhoDivision of Infectious Diseases, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee.ORCID 0000-0002-7599-8173
Ina U ParkDepartment of Family and Community Medicine, University of California-San Francisco School of Medicine, San Francisco, California.ORCID 0009-0008-7558-7092
Erica A BostickUniversity of Rochester School of Medicine and Dentistry, Rochester, New York.ORCID 0000-0001-7256-7872
Sara EhlersOregon Health Authority, Portland, Oregon.ORCID 0009-0009-9447-9094
Sheelah BlankenshipDepartment of Health Policy, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee.ORCID 0009-0008-3946-8133
Monica M BrackneyConnecticut Emerging Infections Program, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut.ORCID 0000-0001-7925-8503
Kameny ChanOregon Health Authority, Portland, Oregon.ORCID 0009-0009-5779-7253
RaeAnne KurtzUniversity of Rochester School of Medicine and Dentistry, Rochester, New York.ORCID 0009-0009-5385-4089
Erin WhitneyCalifornia Emerging Infections Program, Richmond, California.ORCID 0009-0005-9242-1332
Rebecca E MoritzDivision of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, CDC, Atlanta, Georgia.ORCID 0000-0001-8245-1769
Marissa K VigarDivision of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, CDC, Atlanta, Georgia.ORCID 0000-0001-7872-0698
Troy D QuerecDivision of High-Consequence Pathogens and Pathology, National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases, CDC, Atlanta, Georgia.ORCID 0000-0002-3787-6271
Elizabeth R UngerDivision of High-Consequence Pathogens and Pathology, National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases, CDC, Atlanta, Georgia.ORCID 0000-0002-2925-5635
Lauri E MarkowitzDivision of Viral Diseases, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, CDC, Atlanta, Georgia.ORCID 0000-0002-2480-9520
HPV-IMPACT Working Group

Funding

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) U50CK000643Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) U50CK000644Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) U50CK000650Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) U50CK000651Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) U50CK000652Intramural CDC HHS CC999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMonitoring human papillomavirus (HPV) types detected in cervical precancers has been one approach to evaluate HPV vaccination impact in the United States. During 2008 to 2014, the proportion of cervical precancers positive for HPV16/18 decreased overall and among some demographic and histologic subgroups. This updated analysis describes trends through 2019.

methodsWe analyzed cervical precancers among women 20 to 39 years of age from a five-site, population-based surveillance program for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or higher and adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS; collectively CIN2+). Available archived diagnostic tissue was tested for HPV16, HPV18, and other HPV types. We evaluated the average annual percent change (AAPC) in the proportion of cervical precancers with HPV16 or 18 detected overall and by vaccination status, age group, diagnosis, race/ethnicity, and surveillance site.

resultsDuring 2008 to 2019, 17,323 CIN2+ cases had valid typing results. The proportion of cases positive for HPV16/18 significantly decreased by 3.6% per year. The largest decrease occurred among cases in vaccinated women (AAPC = -8.9), with smaller but still significant decreases among unvaccinated women (AAPC = -2.3). Significant decreases were observed among all subgroups evaluated, except women 35 to 39 years of age, AIS, and Asian women.

conclusionsDuring 2008 to 2019, decreases in the proportion of CIN2+ cases that were HPV16/18 positive among vaccinated and unvaccinated women and in most subgroups evaluated suggest direct and indirect HPV vaccination impact. IMPACT: HPV vaccination impact on precancers is prognostic of future decreases in cervical cancer. Continued monitoring can enable evaluation of vaccination impact in population subgroups.

Indexed as

Human papillomavirus 16Human papillomavirus 18Papillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesPrecancerous ConditionsUterine Cervical DysplasiaUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdultFemaleHumansUnited StatesVaccinationYoung AdultPapillomavirus Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID42089801
PMCPMC13317513

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.