Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42088557›Full record

ArticleGlobal change biology communications2026

Algal Blooms in Lakes Increase After Wildfire Smoke Events in the Contiguous United States.

Nicole E Olson, Meredith M Brehob, Robert D Sabo, Irena Pavlovic, Kathleen I Shank, Sam Penry, Amalia M Handler, Michael J Pennino, R Byron Rice, Katie L Boaggio and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global change biology communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Nicole E OlsonU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, USA.
Meredith M BrehobOak Ridge Institute for Science and Education Hosted at U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, Washington D.C., USA.
Robert D SaboU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, Washington D.C., USA.
Irena PavlovicU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Region 9 Air and Radiation Division, Southern California Field Office, California, USA.
Kathleen I ShankOak Ridge Associated Universities Hosted at U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, USA.
Sam PenryOak Ridge Associated Universities Hosted at U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, USA.
Amalia M HandlerU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, Corvallis, Oregon, USA.
Michael J PenninoU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, Washington D.C., USA.
R Byron RiceU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, USA.
Katie L BoaggioU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air and Radiation, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, USA.
Stephen D LeDucU.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Research and Development, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, USA.

Funding

Intramural EPA EPA999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Area burned by wildfire has increased in the contiguous United States and in many places globally in recent years, impacting communities and ecosystems nearby and even far downwind of fires. We examined the potential effects of smoke on surface chlorophyll-a concentrations in lakes, as algal blooms can adversely impact drinking water supplies and aquatic ecosystems. We linked remotely sensed surface chlorophyll-a concentrations from over 2000 lakes across the contiguous U.S. with airborne smoke plume locations and densities for 2018. Chlorophyll-a values for each lake were fitted to seasonal curves, and the residuals were tested between smoke versus no smoke periods. Changes in chlorophyll-a were also compared between the weeks before and after smoke events for each lake. Lastly, we categorized lakes based on elevation and trophic status to further discern fire effects on water quality. Mean residual surface chlorophyll-a concentrations during and within 2 weeks after smoke periods were significantly elevated (1.5 μg/L) compared to values from no smoke periods (-0.3 μg/L). Moreover, surface chlorophyll-a responses increased significantly with higher smoke density, and in hundreds of the lakes, increased by amounts exceeding global drinking water alerts for chlorophyll-a. We observed significant increases in responses for lakes at higher elevation (> 538 m) and for eutrophic lakes. We hypothesize that fire-driven smoke effects are contributing to the formation of algal blooms given the proper antecedent conditions, like elevated water temperatures. Algal blooms can occur after ephemeral change in lake trophic status and produce cyanotoxins and other adverse impacts. Because wildfire smoke can affect large regions, our findings have implications for drinking water and recreational lakes across the U.S. and globally, as well as for lake ecology, particularly in higher elevation systems with otherwise limited nutrient inputs.

Indexed as

algal bloomchlorophyll-acyanobacteriadrinking waterlakesnutrientsremote sensingsmokewildfire

Identifiers

PMID42088557
PMCPMC13137383

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.