Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42088072›Full record

ArticleWater2025

Assessing Flooding from Changes in Extreme Rainfall: Using the Design Rainfall Approach in Hydrologic Modeling.

Anna M Jalowska, Daniel E Line, Tanya L Spero, J Jack Kurki-Fox, Barbara A Doll, Jared H Bowden, Geneva M E Gray

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Water, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Anna M JalowskaOffice of Research and Development, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7507-490X
Daniel E LineDepartment of Biological and Agricultural Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695, USA.
Tanya L SperoOffice of Research and Development, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1600-0422
J Jack Kurki-FoxDepartment of Biological and Agricultural Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3969-7955
Barbara A DollDepartment of Biological and Agricultural Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5969-3436
Jared H BowdenDepartment of Applied Ecology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1677-4292
Geneva M E GrayOffice of Water, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC 20004, USA.

Funding

Intramural EPA EPA999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Quantifying future changes in extreme events and associated flooding is challenging yet fundamental for stormwater managers. Along the U.S. Atlantic Coast, Eastern North Carolina (ENC) is frequently exposed to catastrophic floods from extreme rainfall that is typically associated with tropical cyclones. This study presents a novel approach that uses rainfall data from five dynamically and statistically downscaled (DD and SD) global climate models under two scenarios to visualize a potential future extent of flooding in ENC. Here, we use DD data (at 36-km grid spacing) to compute future changes in precipitation intensity-duration-frequency (PIDF) curves at the end of the 21st century. These PIDF curves are further applied to observed rainfall from Hurricane Matthew-a landfalling storm that created widespread flooding across ENC in 2016-to project versions of "Matthew 2100" that reflect changes in extreme precipitation under those scenarios. Each Matthew-2100 rainfall distribution was then used in hydrologic models (HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS) to simulate "2100" discharges and flooding extents in the Neuse River Basin (4686 km

Indexed as

design rainfall approachEPA dynamically downscaled ensemble (EDDE)extreme floodingextreme rainfallfuture floodingHEC-HMSHEC-RAShydraulic modelinghydrologic modelingprecipitation intensity–duration–frequency estimates (PIDF)tropical cyclones

Identifiers

PMID42088072
PMCPMC13137454

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.