Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42084156›Full record

ArticleAfrican journal of primary health care & family medicine2026

A setback for Sustainable Development Goal 3.1: Documenting the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic's impact on maternal mortality through a National Confidential Enquiry in South Africa.

Gomolemo Rakale, Sam T Ntuli, Tshepo Ramarumo, Solly M Seeletse

Abstract read
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Article in African journal of primary health care & family medicine, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Gomolemo RakaleDepartment of Statistical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology, Sefako Makgatho Health Sciences University, Pretoria. gomolemo.rakale@smu.ac.za.
Sam T Ntuli
Tshepo Ramarumo
Solly M Seeletse

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMaternal mortality highlights health system effectiveness and social fairness. South Africa's Confidential Enquiry into Maternal Deaths (CEMD) monitors and improves maternal healthcare. While initial decreases in maternal mortality were positive, the COVID-19 pandemic and ongoing provincial inequalities jeopardise reaching the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) target.

aimThis analysis evaluated South Africa's maternal mortality reduction path by examining CEMD data trends, the pandemic's effect and provincial disparities to gauge progress towards its SDG commitments.

methodsA longitudinal trend analysis was conducted using secondary data from CEMD reports (2017-2022). The analysis focused on national and provincial institutional Maternal Mortality Ratio (iMMR) trends. Comparative analysis quantified changes and identified patterns of disparity.

resultsPre-pandemic improvement was abruptly reversed by a significant 42% surge in the national iMMR during the pandemic, underscoring the fragility of previous gains. Although a decrease was observed in 2022, the rate remained above the 2019 baseline, indicating an incomplete recovery. Furthermore, profound inter-provincial disparities were evident, with only two provinces sustaining a downward trend, the majority showing no clear improvement and three provinces consistently exhibiting exceptionally high and volatile iMMRs. LESSONS LEARNT: South Africa is not yet on track to meet its SDG target for maternal mortality. The pandemic exposed and exacerbated systemic weaknesses, while deep-rooted provincial inequities persist. Achieving sustainable progress requires a dual strategy: building a more resilient health system capable of withstanding future shocks and implementing targeted, equity-focused interventions in underperforming regions to ensure that maternal healthcare is accessible and effective for all.

Indexed as

COVID-19Maternal MortalitySustainable DevelopmentFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaternal Health ServicesPregnancySARS-CoV-2South Africaconfidential enquiryCOVID-19maternal mortalitySouth AfricaSustainable Development Goals

Identifiers

PMID42084156
PMCPMC13149929

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.