Machine-Learning-Based Targeted Plasma Proteomic Analysis for Predicting Motor Progression in Parkinson's Disease: An Interpretable Approach to Personalized Disease Management.

The accurate prediction of motor progression in Parkinson's disease (PD) remains a major clinical challenge that limits personalized treatment planning and efficient clinical trial design. In this study, we developed and validated a machine-learning framework integrating a targeted panel of plasma proteins measured by Olink proximity extension assays with clinical variables to stratify patients according to their progression risk. We analyzed baseline plasma samples from 211 early-stage PD patients enrolled in the Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI) cohort using four targeted Olink panels, from which 28 circulating proteins were retained after quality-control filtering. Patients were classified as rapid or slow progressors based on their annualized change in MDS-UPDRS Part III scores. Among the algorithms tested, Random Forest achieved the highest discriminative performance with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.751 (95% CI: 0.684-0.811), which exceeded that of clinical predictors alone (AUC 0.666). The integration of targeted proteomic and clinical features further improved model performance (AUC 0.773;