Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42063587›Full record

ArticleBJUI compass2026

Bedside risk score for medical therapy failure in small-volume BPH: Temporal validation.

Numan Alam, Naveed Ahmad, Syed Hamzah Shirazi, Aftab Ahmed, Bilal Suria, Jamshid Ali, Muhammad Anas Ghazi, Elham Shenawa, Mirza Muhammad Hadeed Khawar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BJUI compass, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Numan AlamDHQ Teaching Hospital Mardan Pakistan.
Naveed AhmadAlkhidmat Raazi Hospital Rawalpindi Pakistan.
Syed Hamzah ShiraziAlkhidmat Raazi Hospital Rawalpindi Pakistan.
Aftab AhmedSheikh Khalifa Bin Zaid/CMH Hospital Muzaffarabad Pakistan.
Bilal SuriaAl-Tibri Medical College & Hospital Isra University Karachi Pakistan.
Jamshid AliTHQ Hospital Banda Daud Shah Pakistan.
Muhammad Anas GhaziNorth Manchester General Hospital Manchester UK.
Elham ShenawaFaculty of Medicine Balkh University Mazar-i-Sharif Afghanistan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0002-7582-2490
Mirza Muhammad Hadeed KhawarServices Institute of Medical Sciences Lahore Pakistan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Purpose: Medical therapy is the first-line treatment for lower urinary tract symptoms (LUTS) secondary to benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). However, predictors of treatment failure in men with small prostate volume (<30 ml) remain poorly defined. This study aimed to develop and temporally validate a simple bedside risk score for predicting medical therapy failure in this specific subgroup. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of 201 men aged ≥50 years with IPSS ≥8 and prostate volume <30 ml who started medical therapy between 2015 and 2025. Treatment failure was defined as surgical intervention, acute urinary retention or IPSS worsening by ≥4 points. Independent predictors were identified using multivariable logistic regression. A practical integer risk score was derived from the strongest predictors. Temporal validation was conducted by splitting the cohort chronologically (derivation set 2015-2020, Results: During a median follow-up of 24 months, 66 patients (32.8%) experienced treatment failure. Independent predictors included higher IPSS, greater BPH Impact Index, increased intravesical prostatic protrusion, lower maximum flow rate, higher post-void residual volume and diabetes mellitus. The bedside risk score stratified patients into low-risk (0-3 points: 11.0% failure), moderate-risk (4-7 points: 32.9%) and high-risk (8-13 points: 77.5%) categories. The model demonstrated good discrimination (AUC 0.789; bootstrap-corrected 0.782) and maintained strong performance in temporal validation (derivation AUC 0.799; validation AUC 0.821). Conclusion: This novel bedside risk score reliably predicts medical therapy failure in small-volume BPH using readily available clinical parameters. It may enable early risk stratification and timely intervention, particularly in populations with high diabetes prevalence.

Indexed as

bedside risk scorebenign prostatic hyperplasiadiabetes mellitusIntravesical prostatic protrusionmedical therapy failuresmall prostate volumetemporal validation

Identifiers

PMID42063587
PMCPMC13125953

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.