Evidence map›Paper›PMID 42063126›Full record

ArticleBMC psychology2026

Heterogeneous mental health trajectories in college students: a three-year longitudinal study using latent class growth modeling.

Yajuan Li, Gang Xiao, Huanbin Xue

Abstract read
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Article in BMC psychology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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1citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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1 citing paper in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Yajuan LiSchool of Education Science, Hanshan Normal University, Chaozhou, China.
Gang XiaoSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, Hanshan Normal University, Chaozhou, China. xiaogang@hstc.edu.cn.
Huanbin XueSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, Hanshan Normal University, Chaozhou, China.

Funding

Hanshan Normal University Institutional Projects Grant Nos.QD2024111,E24035National Natural Science Foundation(NSF) of China Grant12372009Natural Science Foundation of Hanshan Normal University Grant No.2023GXJK385Natural Science Foundation of Hanshan Normal University Grant No. PNB221103NSF of Guangdong Grant 2022A1515011971
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCollege students face significant mental health challenges during their academic journey, yet the heterogeneity in their psychological adaptation patterns remains poorly understood. Traditional variable-centered approaches fail to capture the diverse trajectories that students may follow. Recent studies indicate that 20-30% of Chinese college students experience clinically significant psychological distress, highlighting the need for person-centered analytical approaches.

methodsThis longitudinal study employed formal Latent Class Growth Modeling (LCGM) using the Expectation-Maximization algorithm implemented in Python to identify distinct mental health trajectories among 2,562 Chinese college students assessed at enrollment (T1), sophomore year (T2, 18 months), and junior year (T3, 30 months). The Symptom Checklist-90 (SCL-90) Global Severity Index served as the primary outcome. Model selection was based on a composite score integrating BIC, entropy, bootstrap stability, and clinical relevance.

resultsA four-class solution demonstrated optimal fit (composite score = 0.768, entropy = 0.779, bootstrap stability = 0.933). Four trajectories emerged: Low-Optimal (13.2%; M

conclusionsApproximately one quarter of college students follow a high-risk mental health trajectory requiring targeted intervention. The formal LCGM approach with simultaneous parameter estimation provides robust classification with moderate classification quality (entropy = 0.779) and high bootstrap stability (0.933). These findings support implementing tiered early warning systems based on baseline screening.

Indexed as

Mental HealthStudentsAdolescentAdultChinaFemaleHumansLatent Class AnalysisLongitudinal StudiesMaleUniversitiesYoung AdultCollege studentsEarly warning systemEM algorithmLatent class growth modelingLongitudinal studyMental health trajectoriesSCL-90

Identifiers

PMID42063126
PMCPMC13274059

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