ArticleBMC medical informatics and decision making2026
Predicting adolescent depression: an interpretable machine learning model.
Article in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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12 authors.
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Abstract
objectivesAdolescent depression is a global mental health problem, increasing the social and economic burden. Using machine learning methods can better predict the risk of depression in adolescents, and provide a reference for the prevention and early intervention of the occurrence of depression in adolescents.
methodsIn this study, we collected various data of 1226 juvenile patients aged 13–25 years, selected the best prediction model from the five machine learning algorithms according to the area under the curve, compared the prediction effect of the five models, selected a model with the best prediction performance, and used the SHAP method for interpretation.
resultsThe XGBoost algorithm has the best predictive performance in distinguishing whether adolescents are at risk for depression. According to the SHapley Additive exPlanations results, the factors most associated with the risk of adolescent depression are sleep factors, family factors, and education level.
conclusionsThe XGBoost-based machine learning classifier can relatively accurately predict the risk of depression in adolescents. This study provides a reference for the prevention and early intervention of the occurrence of depression in adolescents.
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