ArticleNature communications2026
Escalating transmissibility of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in a high-endemic region of China.
Article in Nature communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Complex exposure-response relationships between meteorological factors and severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome risk.Tropical medicine and health · 2026Article
- Escalating transmissibility of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in a high-endemic region of China.Nature communications · 2026Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging public health concern with increasing incidence and geographic spread. Quantitative assessment of its cross-species transmission among humans, ticks, and animal hosts remains limited. Here, we develop and apply a multi-population, multi-route dynamic model using data from 3,883 reported cases in Anhui Province, China, from 2019 to 2023 to quantify transmissibility and characterize spatiotemporal patterns. We estimate an average annual incidence of 1.3 per 100,000 and a case fatality rate of 3.1%. Cases are concentrated from April to September, and the transmission season extends into early spring and late autumn. Farmers and older adults are the main high-risk groups, and transmission risk is highest in central and southern Anhui. Model-based estimates indicate increasing transmissibility, with the basic reproduction number exceeding 1 from 2022 and reaching 1.5 in 2023; the highest prefecture-level estimate is 3.3 in Chuzhou. These findings show sustained expansion of SFTS transmission in a high-endemic region and support earlier, geographically targeted interventions for cross-species transmission control.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.